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Axia NetMedia (AXX.TO)

TOP PICK
A company that established itself on the super net in Alberta, linking up services and people. It is now in a partnership in France and is bidding on a contract in Singapore with Cisco (CSCO-Q).
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 24/06. Up 50.8%.) Run the Internet in Alberta connecting all their communities. Doing the same thing in France. Still has a good run ahead of it.
TOP PICK
They run the broadband around Alberta was a 10-year contract from the Alberta government. This justifies the current price. What he really likes is that they are successfully bidding now and partnered up and won 11 of their first 15 bids in France. Australia is out to tender.
HOLD
Build/operate networks in underserved areas along with governments in Alberta and France. Have all the ingredients for a sustainable competitive advantage. Wonderful margins. Not cheap at 20 X next years earnings. Would like to see a pullback.
TOP PICK
Company that was created to put the broadband network into Alberta. A profitable business. Now going to France to put these networks into every part of France.
BUY
Have built out SuperNet in Alberta which will generate a nice cash flow. Fully valued on that basis, but you have almost a free call option on the upside on what they are doing in France.
DON'T BUY
He held this stock until approx. 2-3 months ago. Axia Netmedia is a huge part of the backbone in internet in Alberta and expanding into France. Estimates have been chopped by 55% in the last 90 days. Their forecast to earn is lower for this year. Company is in a transition which will last for a period of 6 months. Interesting long term, but there are better opportunities elsewhere.
WATCH
Low price stock. Good chance it will go up. Need to watch. If you own hold until $2.25, if it goes below sell.
TRADE
It's like a 5 year "overnight" success story. Earnings are starting to kick back in. Have a great competitive position, government is supporting them and the backbone is starting to be added to. Hasn't analyzed it yet to see why earnings are so strong, so not recommending at this time.
DON'T BUY
Ranked well in his database model because of stock price momentum. Earnings are expected to grow from $0.01 to $0.03 in '06. Against the $1.40 stock price gives you a 50 X PE, but not much in the way of PE to growth. Highly speculative.
DON'T BUY
Getting a little expensive.
BUY
Will eventually take off. Very cheap price.
STRONG BUY
Has been buying at its time of being beaten down. It will make a lot of money
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