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Stockchase Discover American Express AXP-N BUY May 17, 2022

Allan Tong’s Discover Picks In fact, when AmEx reported its Q1 2022 in mid-April, it stated a 42% rise in business travel spending year-over-year and 121% in travel and entertainment spending. That T&E spend in March matched pre-pandemic levels. Further, sales leapt 29% year-over-year $11.8 billion, wiping out pandemic declines. Card-member spending fueled this surge and it made record monthly volumes in March. Its Delta Air Lines card has made all-time highs in terms of accounts, while its platinum cards also hit record numbers in Q1. Card fees grew 16% year-over-year with three million new cards added. The EPS came in at $2.18, well above the expected $1.87. Management forecast 18% to 20% revenue growth for the full year. “People are looking to get out there and travel,” sais CEO Stephen Squeri on his conference call. Read Summer stocks fun or summertime blues? 3 stocks to consider this summer for our full analysis.
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PARTIAL SELL

She just trimmed AmEx as part of typical prudent portfolio management. She bought this in 2019 at 14x PE and is now at 19x PE with 13% earnings growth for the next two years. If the market hits volatility, she's perfectly fine taking a little money off the table.

HOLD

A bit more credit risk than other names. All the credit card companies are good, but he prefers and owns Visa.

BUY

It reports Friday. Every time it reports, the stock takes a hit that day, but AXP has had a juggernaut run in recent years.

TOP PICK

Positioned higher on the socio-economic side than Visa or MA, so it doesn't have a lot of credit problems. Absolutely spectacular track record. Extremely profitable right through the entire financial crisis. Earnings growth at the 15% annualized level, trades at only 18x. Excess cash generation. Repurchased ~40% of stock in last 20 years. Yield is 1.17%, keeps jacking it up.

Also a core holding of his good friend Warren Buffett ;)

(Analysts’ price target is $324.71)
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TOP PICK

American Express Company (Mexico), S.A. de C.V. is a diversified global integrated travel and financial services company with operations in more than 200 countries and a presence in Mexico since 1852. It is characterized by offering superior services that exceed customer expectations in financial products, such as personal service and credit cards, corporate cards, and leisure and business travel services. American Express provides its customers with access to products, ideas, and experiences that enrich lives and contribute to business success. Social media mentions are up 1400% in the past 24h.

WATCH

It reports Thursday. It trades on new card sign-ups, especially from young people and he expects that in the report. But careful: they usually trades badly in the morning of a report, then reverses. Listen to the call before deciding.

BUY

He bought more $282. They target a young, aspirational person trying to get a gold card. Likes it.

BUY

Is a long term hold for her. Is slightly down for the year, but the earnings growth is remarkable, consistently 15-19%.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Seeing profit-taking now. Is up 30% for the year. They're firing on all cylinders.

BUY

Will lead in the coming year over Visa and Mastercard, because AXP has a younger demographic and not built into the PE. That said, they're all great companies and can't lose.