Opinions Cole Kachur
ARK Innovation ETFARKKBUY ON WEAKNESSFeb 16, 2021
Cole KachurStock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 04, 2026. Market Open.
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The ARK funds have likely bottomed, on the basis that interest rates and inflation have peaked. Although, even if the fund has truly bottomed, it may trade sideways for longer than an investor can wait, and we would not expect the parabolic action that it saw in 2020 to occur anytime soon. The underlying companies in the fund are growing fast, but valuations are still on the high end, and we feel it will take a substantial shift in market sentiment to a 'risk-on' environment to see material gains in the name. With that said, we think the name can do well over a long timeframe, and we think investors will need to be patient here.
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Premium contentTesla is ARK's largest holding at 8.69% which has bounced from its 52-week low of $700 on February 24 to the current $864 (March 1). Its PE has always been astronomical (176x), but buyers of this stock suspend ordinary stock metrics in favour of faith in CEO Elon Musk and his vision of the automobile future. That faith remains. Expect Tesla to keep climbing. You can't say that about ARK's second-biggest holding, Teladoc, which is tanking as the pandemic fades and consumers rely on telephone medical services less. Streamer Roku was also considered a pandemic play and has oversold, but that too is recovering since bottoming on February 24. Other big holdings in ARK include Block (Square) whose recent numbers have launched a renaissance in a stock once left for dead.
Jamie Murray Run by Cathie Wood, the mnost successful money manager on 2020 who invests in high-growth tech stocks. Their glaring flaw was a lack of diversification, which is why her ETF hot hammered this year when tech fell out of fashion. In May, Ark saw negative fund flows for the first time in over a year. ARKK is one Wood's largest ETFs. ARKK is down 5% YTD while the indexes are up. Her holdings like Zoom Video are considered Covid stocks. Wood, though, remains a wizard. Her small funds have performed better than the benchmarks and remains a fantastic long-term performer. But the era of Wood propping up these hyper-growth stocks with her massive inflows is over.
Its portfolio manager has outperformed the index for a number of years. However, he hears concerns about the Ark ETFs in general is the amount of inflows of around $50 billion; as funds get bigger they have trouble exceeding return expectations. ARKK is a core strategy that he likes. Ark will continue to have new ideas for ETFs, maybe space exploration. Michael Barry (of the Big Short) is shorting these Ark funds, but long term they should return well because innovation is here to stay. But ARKK is pricey now, given holdings like Tesla. Wait for a better entry point.