The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research)
Align Technology Inc
ALGN-Q
TOP PICK
May 06, 2021
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly During the pandemic, orthodontic services have been restricted. ALGN allows patients a safe, lower cost way, to achieve their goal for a better dental appearance. Patients work with orthodontists, but wear an aligner for their teeth that is not visible to others. Management just amped up their sales expectations to $3.7-$3.9 billion for the year, compared to analyst expectations of $3.49 billion. The company is expanding to include Europe, Japan and China. The company continues to build cash reserves, now estimated over $1.2 billion. We would buy this with a stop loss at $400, looking to achieve $707 -- upside potential over 25%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $707.00)
(A Top Pick May 06/21, Up 20.9%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with ALGN has achieved its target of $707. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering 50% of the position and trailing up the stop (from $400) to $590.
(A Top Pick May 06/21, Up 0.95%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with ALGN has triggered its stop at $590. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the balance of the position at this time. Combined with the previous recommendation to cover half the position, this results in a net investment return over 10%.
Shares have fallen $700 to $200. China is a big growth market for them, and China will reopen and grow. Traeds at 25x PE. 20% 5-year growth rate. Dominates this industry.
Down 67% last year, a pandemic victim. It turned around in Q4 by offering stability that shareholders applauded. Was the 3rd-worst performer in 2022, but is the 2nd-best performer in 2023.
#5 stock in Q1, up 58%. Pre-Covid, it was a great growth stocks, but slid after Covid. Is recovering now though selling at a rich 40x PE. If Wall Street doesn't shun growth stocks again, this can rise higher.
Was upgraded today. This was a huge pandemic winner, peaking at $730. Shares are up 70% this year to $373. She bought it way down, nearly doubling her hold in worth. The braces market is huge for teenagers as well as adults. She has recommended this before and still does.