Opinions
Bruce Campbell (2)
AutoCanada Inc.
ACQ-T
HOLD
Dec 10, 2014
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Premium contentACQ operates 85 auto dealerships in Canada and also in Illinois. They also operate service and repair centres, which processed 900,000 orders in 2022. Recently reported earnings showed an almost doubling of net income. It trades at 7x earnings, 1.1x book value and supports an 18% ROE. Cash reserves were steady, despite aggressively retiring debt and buying back stock. We recommend a stop-loss at $13, looking to achieve $30 -- upside over 75%. Yield 0%
(Analysts’ price target is $35.31)Premium contentWe reiterate this operator of auto dealership franchises as a TOP PICK. It trades at 7x earnings and under book value. It supports a ROE of 19%. Cash reserves are growing while debt is aggressively retired and shares bought back. We recommend trailing up the stop (from $13) to $15, looking to achieve $26 -- upside potential of 40%. Yield 0%
(Analysts’ price target is $26.35)Premium contentWe reiterate ACQ as a TOP PICK. Strong consumer demand and constraints on light vehicle supply have combined to create record industry profitability in the auto dealership sector. Higher interest rates have taken away some of the momentum, but the company recently reported higher cash reserves, while they aggressively retired debt and bought back shares. It trades under book value and 7x earnings. We continue to recommend a stop-loss at $15, looking to achieve $26 -- upside potential of 31%. Yield 0%
(Analysts’ price target is $26.35)Premium contentWith a network of 65 auto dealerships in North America, we reiterate ACQ as a TOP PICK. It trades at 7x earnings, supports a 17% ROE and is right at book value. Cash reserves are growing, while the company aggressively retires debt and buys back shares. We recommend trailing up the stop (from $15) to $17, looking to achieve $26 -- upside potential of 23%. Yield 0%
(Analysts’ price target is $26.35)Premium contentPremium contentACQ, who holds 65 auto locations and has over 15,000 vehicles in inventory, is reiterated as a TOP PICK. Recently reported earnings showed a 30% increase in EPS. Cash reserves are being prudently used to aggressively retire debt. It trades at 7x earnings, 1.2x book and supports a 21% ROE. We continue to recommend a stop at $21, looking to achieve $31 -- upside potential of 24%. Yield 0%
(Analysts’ price target is $31.50)Premium contentPremium contentOur PAST TOP PICK with ACQ has triggered its stop at $23. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 16%, when combined with our previous recommendations.
Before the current stock price drop, there were a number of issues. The value is now really starting to show up. For the majority of the year and even into last year, this was a stock that was always priced at a premium because they had such a high growth rate. The growth rate hasn’t stopped, but they have certainly come into line with their peers. The 2015 estimates are trading significantly cheaper than a lot of their peers. Have a very high exposure in Alberta which is part of the reason for the drop in the stock. However, new vehicle sales make up a big portion of their revenue, but from an EBITDA earnings standpoint, it doesn’t make up as much as you would think. It is only about 26%-27% of that. Basically down in price from what it was a year ago, and they have acquired over 15 dealerships, including their 2 largest in Québec. Starting to diversify outside of Alberta. There is lots of room for them to keep acquiring. If you have a longer-term time horizon you could get invested now.