Stock price when the opinion was issued
A really interesting company. Their primary business right now is gravel crushing. They operate a mine for the Alberta government. Numbers came out today and were probably a little disappointing. The real upside with this one is that they have an opportunity to participate in a frac sand market. The majority of the frac sand that is used in Western Canada gets railed in from Wisconsin. They have an opportunity to set up a depot, which will require some capital, so wouldn’t be surprised to see them raising money in the short term. This is where the huge upside is as they will be able to compete on price. The sand won’t be the same quality, but will be satisfactory for most of the frac jobs. He is looking at this one.
Did very well, but has done poorly in the last month. Fortunately, he exited before the selloff happened. They operate some gravel pits in Fort McMurray, and have a frac sand deposit, which is where the bulk of the value was when it was at $3. Frac sand still has a tremendous influence on the stock price. They don’t have enough cash flow to develop the mine themselves. However, he feels it is a tremendous asset if you believe in healthy oil prices.
He has a very small position in this. The big business for them is the frac sand market. Most frac sand is being railed in from Wisconsin. Athabasca has a big sand quarry in Alberta where they are doing their preliminary assessment. Strategically located. Has no revenue from this right now. Stock had a big run up as there were expectations of them getting approval for this quarry. Pulled back because everyone is now concerned about the longevity of the energy business and what that will mean for this company. If you have a longer-term time horizon this would be a good entry point. Probably 18 months away, plus they are going to have to do an equity raise for a rail.
Makes gravel in Fort McMurray. Thinks this is going to go higher. Have a lot of catalyst waiting for them that could move the stock price up. Have a huge frac sand deposit and are waiting to hear from the government as to whether they can proceed developing at, or if they have to do a full environmental assessment.