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Today, Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA and Josef Schachter commented about whether TXP-T, SGY-T, CR-T, PGF-T, HWO-T, BIR-T, CQE-T, CNQ-T, TDG-T, PRQ-T, IPO-T, CPG-T, CNE-T, PIPE-T, TCW-T, ARX-T, OBE-T, WCP-T, VET-T, XMW-T, ZUT-T, ZWU-T, CYBR-T are stocks to buy or sell.

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A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert
Market. The attacks on Saudi oil facilities. The markets are under reacting because they don’t know what the policy response will be but Trump does not want a war. From an investment standpoint, we have to watch crack spreads because a spike in oil pricing puts up refining costs. We are seeing a weakness globally in demand for the refined products. The ETF CRAK-N is up a small percent today which is a material difference from the broader energy sector. This is a key thing to watch. Last week we saw a massive reversal in bonds. The question now is where the buyers step in. We are still heading for recession and this is just a technical correction. People should learn how to work this asset class into their portfolios. Gold is a tremendous asset class and nothing has changed recently.
Unknown
BUY
Canadian Dollar 3 to 6 months out. We are probably going to hang out at $0.75 give or take a bit. 3 to 6 months out he thinks the global economy will weaken and the Canadian economy is headed for recession. Use strength in the Canadian dollar to buy snow bird dollars.
Unknown
BUY
He thinks we are headed to all electronic money over the next 5 to 20 years, Cyber security will be one of the most important things. But look at the volatility. When we get these extreme shocks in the sector that is when you want to buy. He does not have much exposure right now.
E.T.F.'s
BUY

ZWU-T vs. ZUT-T. ZWU-T includes non-traditional utilities and is a much broader way to play it. The pure utilities asset class is one of the most expensive equities on the planet. He prefers the broader diversification and the covered call overlay. ZWU-T is his preference.

E.T.F.'s
BUY

ZWU-T vs. ZUT-T. ZWU-T includes non-traditional utilities and is a much broader way to play it. The pure utilities asset class is one of the most expensive equities on the planet. He prefers the broader diversification and the covered call overlay. ZWU-T is his preference.

E.T.F.'s
COMMENT
Saudi Arabia. This is a shock and more temporary than permanent. This is not good for anything globally. Oil prices go up and supply is constrained. This is not a reason to be excited about Canadian banks [as caller asked].
Unknown
N/A
Index funds being a bubble. There is a battle between the managers that are tracking indexes and those actively managing. It is not in a bubble because it is money coming from a mutual fund because of higher costs. It does not matter whether you sell an ETF or a mutual fund, to the market.
Unknown
BUY
You are buying stocks that are less vulnerable to the economic cycle. If markets go down then these go down less. This is not a bad factor in selecting investments. The quality factor is those with clean balance sheets, low leverage and good divided coverage.
E.T.F.'s
COMMENT
US Investment with Growth Potential but good tax treatment in a Canadian based account. Horizons' has a new structure called Corporate Class and you can defer your taxes as they are done with total return swaps and no annual distributions.
Unknown
N/A
Educational Segment. How do you Structure you Portfolio for Events like Saudi Arabia this week? We have an event now to think about. Don’t try to trade the noise on day one or two. Make sure your portfolios are structured to reach your goals in the longer term. This is probably temporary. We probably get a spike in oil prices and you should use this to reduce your oil exposure. You can't forecast international relations. Don’t make any big bets on this. The 2018 high in oil will be a monumental resistance. AMLP-N is the pipelines ETF in the US, which is the way he is playing it. He would trim this above $10.
Unknown
N/A
A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert
Market. There was no risk premium in the market due to the attack on the Saudis. You need to know how badly the facilities were damaged and are there off-the-shelf supplies to fix it. The questions are how long it will take to fix the facilities? The game has changed but don’t chase stocks today.
Unknown
WATCH
It was a Top Pick and is up nicely. Don’t chase the stock right now. He does not think there is risk to the 12% dividend.
oil / gas
BUY
Whitecap Resources
He likes it and owns it. The dividend is secure. Next year he thinks we will have $70 oil or more. You want to own this stock going forward. If it backs off to the $4's it will be a table pounding buy. His target is $7 one year and $20 in 3 to 5 years.
Oil and Gas (Integrated Oils)
RISKY
Obsidian Energy
They have put themselves up for sale. They are a Cardium player with quite a bit of debt. They have a lot of non-producing wells. People are worried about how much value there really is in the company after debts are paid off.
oil / gas
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Arc Resources Ltd

The debt is 21%, but down from last December. He would recommend buying it on weakness. They have the gas for LNG approved projects in Canada. We could see takeovers in the next two to three years.

oil / gas