Today, Jim Cramer - Mad Money and Robert McWhirter commented about whether OGC-T, MFI-T, ATRL-TO, ATD.B-T, BCE-T, TVE-T, FNV-T, IFC-T, FRU-T, GEI-T, ALC-T, CLS-T, TD-T, PRL-T, PPL-T, CHP.UN-T, WFC-N, CRWD-Q, NLY-N, DRS-Q, CVNA-N, CRWV-Q, MU-Q are stocks to buy or sell.
Last Thursday's monthly non-farm payrolls report is crucial, giving a real read on labour. Labour can predict GDP growth and the direction of the stock market. LW says look at the employment to population ratio. Data from 1948-1973 yielded a 5.5-year cycle that repeated itself. Every upsurge in employment was predicted by this 5.5-year cycle. The chart from 1971-1995 also had the 5.5-year cycle predict upturns in jobs, though it was more muted than the earlier period. From 1994-2020 also showed peaks based on the 5.5 years. The last five years was skewed because of Covid, but has more recently resumed this 5.5-year cycle. Upshot: the ratio should expand starting now through fall 2027.
Last May, they delivered a large revenue beat with 16% growth YOY. Both of their segments did well, driven by growth in propulsion systems and tactical radars. They have exposure to rare earths which have risen in price on the market. They're confident they can navigate tariffs due to their main footprint and supply chain in the US. Also, 20% of business comes from Canada, South Korea and Israel. The numbers are good. Up 46% this year. DRS feel that can benefit from defense spending. They launched a dividend this year, albeit small, but shows confidence, and started a modes share buyback this year. Share have run up, now at 37x PE. Would buy only in a serious pullback.
There are more foreign investors hedging on the U.S. currency so there will be further pressure on the U.S. dollar which he feels is facing a secular decline. There is more upside to gold since central banks are continuing to buy it as an alternative to the U.S. dollar.There is an estimated $36 trillion in debt which is increasing, and deficit spending is $1.4 trillion per year.
There is an uptrend in commodities, especially copper due to the renewable energy space and EV's. This makes copper a more stable commodity and there are thoughts it could double to $10 in the next two years. Copper is a by-product of gold production. We should see many more mines started or re-started since there have no new mines for some time.
His company uses a base system which uses quantitative, technical and fundamental factors to rank stocks. In general the free cash flow average is 3.7%. The following benchmark may be useful: A Return on Capital of 1.1% is 1/3 of Canadian government bonds. CHP's dividend is 5.1% with a 73% payout ratio. Other stocks rank better on a total return basis.
It doesn't pay a dividend, Assembles materials for data centres and correlates to Nvidia. It has been switching to a more stable recurring revenue sysytem. He wonders about other developments coming and looks for dividend paying stocks with less volatility. He talked about Verses Tech on the Neo exchange (VERS) with a different method of machine learning and AI which uses less computer power and less electricity.
Up 10% the past month. It ran up huge into the quarter, but has since gone done. We've seen this pattern better. Buy some tomorrow, then wait for a 10% interval to buy more.