PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 15/24, Up 29%)

Nice Q4 beat. Provides some shelter from tariffs. Still trades at slight discount of 9x, growing ~12%. Nice dividend. Competitor SLF is the one that's had 2 negative surprises in a year. 

Still a buy, but be aware that investors are flocking to this area, so it could eventually drop. Great compounder from here for the next 5 years.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 15/24, Up 29%)

Just raised dividend again for about the 20th year in a row. Very strong Q4 underwriting, despite a year of catastrophic losses, shows how resilient the business model is. Great 16.5% ROE. Bit pricey here at 16x for 10% growth. Slightly overbought, buy on pullback.

BUY

Still positive, but when it rains it pours. Has come down with the NASDAQ, plus a short report on accounting (which he disagrees with). Great company, lots of future demand, buying back stock. Trades ~11x, growing 65%. It could get worse, but you want to be buying some more here.

RISKY

Great company and dividend. Rather risky, riskier than GEI. Q4 was in line, operating costs down 8%, production up. 2025 calls for 6% production growth. A 10% tariff is, really, peanuts. Will be helped by better decisions in building out Canadian infrastructure.

WATCH
Gold -- isn't it expensive?

You really have to respect a chart like this. When you see a chart like this, you know there's another side. You might see a head-and-shoulders pattern, and it's probably going to fall. His guess is that in the next month or so, Trump's going to roll back a lot of stuff and the economy will be better. So areas like gold are going to sell off.

But both the Chinese and central banks are buying it long term. Always a good theme if interest rates are heading down, though inflation prints are bringing that into question today.

Can be a remarkably frustrating area. Cost inflation, operational problems, jurisdictional issues. He's a stock guy, but sometimes it's OK to just be in the index. Think GDX or GDXJ for US $$. XGD in Canada.

WATCH

His favourite gold senior. His guess is that in the next month or so, Trump's going to roll back a lot of stuff and the economy will be better. So areas like gold are going to sell off.

WATCH

Has some hair on it, but pretty cheap. His guess is that in the next month or so, Trump's going to roll back a lot of stuff and the economy will be better. So areas like gold are going to sell off.

WATCH

Likes this name in its space. His guess is that in the next month or so, Trump's going to roll back a lot of stuff and the economy will be better. So areas like gold are going to sell off.

BUY

Pretty solid earnings, most metrics better than expected. Missed core EPS by 2 cents. Growth names are really getting smashed here as people pull out. Enormous ability to grow, nothing wrong with it. Trades at 6x 2025 PE, with 35% growth rate.

In recessions or growth scares, people have less ability to pay back loans. So a company's PCLs are a concern. 90% of its business is in the US right now. Growing in Canada and in the UK. 

If we go into a recession (but he doesn't think we are), this name is probably going to get worse. A really good name given the setup right now on valuation, execution, and the market. If you own it in a non-registered account, try to buy more.

WAIT
CP vs. CNR

CP has more catalysts from the Kansas City merger, and a better growth rate. Both are getting more attractive. If we get the all clear on the economy, both names will be decent entry points. Though optimistic, he's still a bit afraid, and wouldn't step in just yet.

WAIT
CP vs. CNR

CP has more catalysts from the Kansas City merger, and a better growth rate. Both are getting more attractive. If we get the all clear on the economy, both names will be decent entry points. Though optimistic, he's still a bit afraid, and wouldn't step in just yet.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Growth company that hasn't been smashed, despite coming down from highs. Flirting with getting into the NASDAQ 100; if it goes down there, will be a lot more buying. Last quarter earnings were good, subscription revenue up, and executing well. But it's pricey.

Must-own name, but you have to buy it at the right level. Very whippy, use the technicals to buy.

WEAK BUY

Lowered outlook, analyst downgrades. Trying to focus on NA retail and European hospitality. The question is whether you want to catch this falling knife? You could buy a small position here, but he'd prefer writing a put, obliging yourself to own it ~$10 and get paid a nice premium.

He still models 21% EPS growth, trading ~20x. 

TOP PICK

At these levels, this whole area is a buy, and this name is a very strong buy. Probably washed out, multi-year lows. Culprits for that are too much debt, imperfect CRTC decisions, increased competition, and less immigration. Yield is 7.8%, and safer than BCE's.

Valuation ~15x is much more reasonable than it's been in years. 2025 won't be great, but beyond that he's modeling decent growth around 13%. Asset sale of towers is a really good catalyst to right the balance sheet. Better use of capital than to have it tied up in that kind of infrastructure.

(Analysts’ price target is $23.21)
TOP PICK

Place to hide that's somewhat immune from tariffs. High growth in both utilities and midstream. Q4 announced the next wave of growth projects to the end of the decade. Increased propane sales, expansion of the North. Decent yield of 3.2%, grows 5% a year.

Stock's had a move, but still a discounted valuation at under 14x. 

(Analysts’ price target is $39.50)