DON'T BUY

He, too, was looking at defensive healthcare names to avoid tariffs. But not this one. Earnings and cashflows have exploded on weight loss, but so has the valuation. Competitors are coming. Lots of pressure in US to reduce drug prices.

Consider ABT or ALC.

WEAK BUY

He was looking at defensive healthcare names to avoid threat of tariffs. This is one name to consider, reasonable valuation but good growth profile.

WEAK BUY

He was looking at defensive healthcare names to avoid threat of tariffs. This is one name to consider, valuation slightly elevated, but unique capabilities in eye care.

TOP PICK

Special situation. Industrial conglomerate with 2 phenomenal businesses, aerospace and automation. Over the next year will split into 2 separate companies, each with its own capital allocation framework; potential to unlock a lot of value of between 50-100%. 

Trades ~20x PE, really good upside. He'd say to hold both those businesses once they come into being next year. Yield is 2.2%.

(Analysts’ price target is $240.57)
TOP PICK

Pursuit of Seven & i spooked a lot of people, debt needed would've been a lot. If it's not a friendly transaction, they're not going ahead, but would work out well if it did.

In the meantime, they're exceptional capital allocators with good scale in a fragmented industry. Really good growth profile and valuation. Yield is 1.1%.

(Analysts’ price target is $88.76)
TOP PICK

This is his choice for those looking for income. Used to trade at a premium, but now trades at 10-11x PE, an absolute discount to peers. Really good balance sheet, and shareholders will benefit. Schwab sale should net ~$20B, and most of that will be for share buybacks. Business won't grow, but EPS has really good growth potential. 

Collect the dividend for 3-5 years while you wait for a multiple re-rating. That'll give income-seeking investors a better total return. Yield is 4.9%.

(Analysts’ price target is $85.81)
HOLD
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

The quarter and outlook were very solid, and this is the second very strong Q in a row, and the stock has regained lots of momentum. EPS could be 70% next year, after a shift from a loss to a profit this year. The 23% short position will likely continue to cover. We think investors can hold this now.
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PARTIAL BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

EPS of $4.93 beat estimates of $4.18 and revenues of $5.76B missed estiamtes of $5.93B. Its combined ratio was solid at 86.5%, mostly due to solid underlying results across all lines of business. Its ROE was 16.5%, and it incurred $1.5B in catastrophe losses from several natural disasters over the past year. There were no mentions of the LA wildfires in its earnings. As a shareholder, we would be very pleased with these results and the market seems to like the results. It trades at 17.5X forward earnings, on the higher end of its historical average, but the company continues to execute and both margins and free cash flow are great. We would be comfortable slowly averaging in here for a long-term hold.
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BUY ON WEAKNESS
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

EPS was 99c, ahead of estimates of 82c; revenue of $2.35B beat estimates of $2.16B. For 2025, forecast is for $9.13B in sales, vs estimates $9.12B. EPS $3.50 to $3.60, vs estimates $3.54. Q1 forecast was mostly in line with estimates. Results are generally good, and the company might be being conservative with its forecast. Investors were looking for more. But good growth is still very much expected, and we would be OK buying a bit into the dip, with the stock at 32X earnings now. 
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COMMENT
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

Types of Pensions: Defined Benefit Versus Defined Contribution

To start, if you are the owner of a pension asset, particularly a defined income stream, consider yourself lucky! A pension is one of your greatest financial assets.

There are two types of company pension plans: Defined Benefit (DB) and Defined Contribution (DC). While not the focus of this article, we will provide a quick note on the key differences in order to better understand the context of the remaining article.

A DB pension means you receive a specific, known and periodic payout that is guaranteed by your employer regardless of how the pension investment performs. Your defined benefit amount depends on how much is paid into the plan and your years of service with that employer. The employer bears the investment risk and any ‘underfunded’ status.

A DC pension is entirely dependent on investment performance. The employee typically directs the asset allocation via investment fund choices. There are no guarantees about what your payout will be when you either retire or leave that employer.
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