Today, Keith Richards and Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA commented about whether NSANY-OTC, CNQ-T, FCUV-T, ZPAY-T, ZWG-T, ZWK-T, ICLN-Q, ZJAN-NE, CASH, GNRC-N, FCX-N, NVDA-Q, PKI-T, CAR.UN-T, HMAX-T, BCE-T, FTS-T, CHE.UN-T, ARX-T, PYPL-Q, NWC-T, T-T, X-N, ENB-T, CSU-T, GS-N, CP-T, CNR-T are stocks to buy or sell.
The Fed heavily influences tech stocks and this sector may underperform. Also, this trades at 55x forward PE, rich. The chart shows an uptrend, though. You don't want to see it fall through its last peak from mid-2024. He can't argue against this trend, but is cautious because NVDA has been too good. Currently, shares are consolidating, which is normal, but you don't want to see the chart break down.
It's oversold and finding support near current levels; it seems to be bouncing. This is why he just bought a position. Old support from 2023 was $33. If shares don't hold currently, this could fall to $35. Is currently bouncing and heading to resistance at $45, or 15% higher. The risk/reward looks good. He bought one tranche and will buy more if shares move up.
(Analysts’ price target is $52.24)The markets in Toronto and especially New York have done very well the past two years. It's time to pause. Typically, markets will go sideways or fall. It's likely we'll see more volatility like in December. Higher interest rates will hurt growth stocks, particularly tech, and overall markets. He's cautious near term.
He's looking for earnings growth and a broadening out of it. We've had a very narrow and strong leadership by a handful of tech names (the Mag 7). For this bull market to sustain itself, it's really important for earnings to broaden out beyond those names. What will largely set the tone in the coming weeks is AI and what its related companies tell us about going forward.
We'll hear from banks to start off earnings season, as we typically do. There we have rising interest rates and a steepening yield curve, and the banks will provide some insight into that situation.
The market's swinging quite dramatically here and, for him, that speaks to the narrowness of the market. There's uncertainty. If we do get some bad forward guidance on earnings, that won't be good for the market.
True. There's a saying that "a rising tide lifts all boats". You want that broader participation. There are an awful lot of companies that just aren't making any, or any significant, money. When you look at the topline (revenues) versus the bottom line (earnings), you're seeing earnings growth expectations of 10-12%. But we're seeing nominal GDP of 4%. It's getting ever more difficult to reconcile what economic growth will deliver and what earnings will be.
When it's more concentrated that tells you that if those companies miss, look out below. It becomes a higher-risk market when earnings aren't broad.
Import prices will be lower with a stronger US dollar, sure. But that's a small part of the pie compared to labour costs, healthcare costs, and everything else related to supply/demand that's driving inflation. Domestic inflation is driving prices higher, and has little to do with exports.
Trump incorporating tariffs is a concern. It makes it far more difficult for the Fed to add stimulus until we actually see more economic weakness. Right now, the economy and labour markets are still ticking along.
These ETFs give you exposure to an index such as the S&P 500, but then there's an embedded put strategy for protection. You'd buy 10-15% protection on the downside, and then sell a call to pay for that. A no-cost structure of protection. Limits upside, but protects the degree of downside risk.
Loves them right here, right now. It's for those who want to and need to stay invested in equities for growth in the long run, but who are nervous about the markets.
A great ticker. Every year, resets in January. 15% downside protection before any losses, up to about 10% upside. Upside/downside ratio depends on the price of volatility. Gives you exposure to the US market with a currency hedge. You want to hedge your foreign currency exposure right now, as the CAD is very weak.
Loves it right here, right now. It's for those who want to and need to stay invested in equities for growth in the long run, but who are nervous about the markets.