Today, The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research) and Stephen Takacsy, B. Eng, MBA commented about whether QBR.B-T, PLC-T, TCS-T, DOO-T, BCE-T, AQN-T, WSP-T, BIP.UN-T, MHC.U-T, PET-T, RCH-T, SIA-T, DWS-X, FSZ-T, CVO-T, BYL-T, QTRH-T, RBA-T, CTS-T, ADM-N, LSXMA-Q, FLEX-Q, CNHI-N are stocks to buy or sell.
He thinks that central banks have contributed to inflation with rising shelter costs. They're pivoting now as inflation comes down naturally. The rate hikes are down, and rates will decline perhaps gradually to the 2% target. Small-caps have been neglected by the markets, but are cheap. Bonds are also a bargain as are dividend payers like telcos, utilities and pipelines (e.g. Enbridge, Boralex) and enjoy growth tailwinds.
Doesn't follow it. The stock has gone nowhere in the past three years. Been a lot of turmoil in the company. The CEO left in a huff about compensation. They operate in a good business with EBITDA margins of 25%, but is volume- and price-driven. The business can be lumpy. They lost a client, but they recently growth good growth. Also, there's growing competition. Always trades at a premium, though. Take a profit or hold.
He was the lead activist investor. Since then, they have a brand new board and management board with serious experience. They're in a great space; huge infrastructure spending will happen in coming decades in intelligent transportation. They lead in electronic tolls in the US and lead in electronic weighing of vehicles. Insiders are buying a lot of stock in recent months, so they have a lot of confidence; this is rare and bodes well. Much upside ahead.
Things haven't worked out for them in recent years. They went on a spending binge, buying companies, then Covid hit and nobody could travel. Bottom line: they recently did a rights issue, cleaned up the balance sheet as the main shareholder remains supportive. The mobile antenna division was hurt the most as their major client (Samsung) suffered with a swing in cell phone sales, but the other three divisions are doing well. They should sell the antenna division, but debt is in good shape. Better days lie ahead. Average down if you're under water.
He remains a big shareholder. The pandemic hurt a lot of alcohol companies by cutting off their sales channels, and supply chain problems push costs through the roof. They now have a big shareholder, a major player in North American juices, and he expects them to buy out DWS. DWS has divested some assets like real estate. They're putting the pieces in place for this sale, he suspects. Chances of shares rising are quite good.
He recommended this when shares were beaten up during Covid. The government wasn't going to let SIA fail. But he sold all shares around $14, because operating costs (labour) will forever will be higher. It's a tougher business now, though SIA is managed well and demand is huge from the aging population.
Are tied to home renos and there was huge pent-up demand coming out Covid. So, RCH stocked up on inventory and gained market share. Was up 30% last year, but last week they reported lower margins that will persist given excess inventory (that will last a few quarters). So, he took some profits around $45, but will buy them back. A strong balance sheet and track record.
Is the leading pet retailer in Canada as pet adoption continues to grow. This business is recession-proof. The valuation had to come in. Organic same-store sales growth has slowed a little, but management has delivered by expanding store count in underserved markets. The PE has fallen from 30x to 15x and now is 17-20x, which is reasonable considering growth potential and cash flow.
CNHI is the global leader in the manufacturing of agricultural combine harvesters. It continues to improve efficiency of its production line processes and integrate new technology to help farmers. It trades at 7x earnings, under 2x book value and supports a robust 32% ROE. It pays a good dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 25% of cash flow. It is prudently using some cash reserves to aggressively retire debt and buy back shares. We recommend placing a stop-loss at $9.50, looking to achieve $15.00 -- upside potential of 25%. Yield 3.2%
(Analysts’ price target is $15.07)