COMMENT
The S&P's intrinsic value is 3,150. No surprise that the index has pulled back a little since recently reaching that last Wednesday--in the past 25 years, the S&P has rarely exceeded this level. Blind optimism and low interest rates have overridden this math. Barron's recently wrote that the failure of the market to decline has caused investors to believe that we're in a new investing era where market risk is no longer a realistic consideration, and where FOMO exceeds all other actions. In February 1969, the market peaked, then took another 15 years to reach that height again. In that period, there were buying opportunities. He suspects we're at this stage in 1969. We'll find out....
HOLD
It's peaked for years at 4x its book value without breaking through. But when they announced they were streaming, the stock broke out. We've had a speculative buy signal just as earnings forecasts are tailing off. As long as it holds at $140 support, you're safe. Fundamentals vs. technical data.
COMMENT
It's reached a critical technical level of 10x book value. It's trying to break out, but the earnings don't support that. Also, ROE has flatlined after rising a little. He doesn't see what will drive this much higher, unless it's speculative beyond technicals. Good luck.
DON'T BUY
The stock has risen to a critical technical level, a few bucks away from a major peak. A great company, but the ROE and growth rate are merely okay. GOOG tends to reach a limit then suffer a setback. It needs to break through. It's interesting that the founders just stepped down, but doesn't know what the subtext is.
COMMENT
Nice yield, but the earnings have peaked and are sliding a little bit. This can rise to $54. But earnings are edging off which worries him. Could fall as low as $39, which it has touched twice this year. It trades at 1.5-2x book value and is rangebound.
PARTIAL BUY
FMV is 40% higher than the current stock price. It's a decent time to be in this company. Has a decent balance sheet. 70% of oil stocks are sending stress signals, as smaller energy companies go bankrupt, though HSE won't. Oil prices must move up or a lot of juniors are in trouble.
DON'T BUY
The cannabis sector has been thrashed and still not good value--no earnings, uncertain sales. Very risky and good luck to you. He doesn't see the fundamentals improving.
COMMENT
Santa Claus rally The market is peaking. Either the market rises higher--for a Santa Claus rally--or it pulls back, and he doesn't see it rising higher. Be very careful with your money right now.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 07/18, Up 20%) LB is in the best-fiscally run province in Canada, and LB's risks are fairly low. The stock has had a good move lately. A definite hold. It's cheaper than the bigger banks based on book value, and pays a fine yield.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 07/18, Up 36%) A volatile stock, but he likes the golds, holding 10-20% in a portfolio. Gold has a long runway.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 07/18, Up 18%) Its FMV is $70, which BCE has never passed, but rather will bounce down. Not enough upside.
DON'T BUY

It's flying too high. Its FMV is 40% lower than the current price. Watch out! Same goes with MasterCard. Both are WAY overpriced, based on book value and earnings.

BUY
He's recommended this when it was way lower at $54. The FMV is 90% higher than the current price. Has a decent balance sheet, but it faces resistance at $80. If it breaks that, $110 is the next target. CVS avoided getting accused by the US courts for opiate trafficking.
COMMENT

ENB vs. Keyera for dividend safety They pay the same yield. FMV of Keyera is 14% higher and Enbridge is 13.4% than current stock prices. Keyera has resistance at $36 (sell at this point). The big difference is, the balance sheet of Enbridge is slipping away, while Keyera's is rising, so he mildly prefers Keyera. Both have limited upside.

WEAK BUY

ENB vs. Keyera for dividend safety They pay the same yield. FMV of Keyera is 14% higher and Enbridge is 13.4% than current stock prices. Keyera has resistance at $36 (sell at this point). The big difference is, the balance sheet of Enbridge is slipping away, while Keyera's is rising, so he mildly prefers Keyera. Both have limited upside.