RISKY
Not highly valued becasue they mine low-grade (mostly zinc) assets. That said, he recently picked up some of TV-T as bargain-basement shopping and expecting a bounce. There's upside here though with some risk. The balance sheet is good without net debt, but the assets are not the best. It's a trade. If the US-China trade deal happens, all base metals will pop 10-15% in a single day.
COMMENT
Taking a counter-cyclical view, Husky is investing upstream. His best guess is that the Husky closes. It's unlikely there'll be a white knight for MEG.
COMMENT
A micro-cap. He holds debt securities and have been collecting those coupons. SPP is interesting, but highly speculative. They run little coffee shops. The coffee and food are really good. He wouldn't buy it for that reason, but it's okay in a portfolio.
COMMENT
Not his favourite in this space, though he follows it. because it's a Canadian company selling into U.S. aerospace, it could suffer American protectionism. He prefers HRX, though they're both good companies.
DON'T BUY
Too speculative and carries huge debt. It had a good run, but launching satellites is really expensive with credit spreads wider now. This is in the penalty box, though they could fix the business.
SHORT
Given the 10 years of low interest rates, why would companies go to Alaris for financing. He has a small short position. He does not dislike the company or management, but he questions the business model.
SHORT
Extremely high PE of 68. A lot of their growth was supposed to come from China, but China-Canada relations are terrible now. Likely to impact GOOD negatively.
TOP PICK
They do all the right things. They manage conservatively and smart in putting together their packages; their Lower Montney package shows excellent production growth, especially if oil prices recover. They have an Upper Montney discovery as well. He sees value creation here. It'll go higher. (Analysts’ price target is $2.12)
TOP PICK
With today's big Air Canada deal, investors will completely look upon CHR different. CHR's 7% dividend will be rock-solid safe. He likes this a lot. He sees a $10-12 target. (Analysts’ price target is $9.14)
TOP PICK
They have world-class assets, having grown rapidly in five years. Very likely a takeover target at $5/share. Senior producers will be hunting for mid-tier producers to fulfill their production growth. (Analysts’ price target is $5.21)
COMMENT
He doesn't know FVAN well, but there's been a lot of action in the vanadium space with China halting exports and so driving up vanadium pricers. Vanadium is used in electric batteries in cars. He prefers Largo Resources in vanadium.
COMMENT
Vanadium outlook China will be greatly impacted by U.S. trade policies. Until this is trade war is cleared up, numbers we saw last weekend are to be expected. It's underrated how China has been a huge contributor to global growth. Not only vanadium, but all the base metals will be effected by the trade issue. A free trade deal will help, but he thinks the credit cycle has turned. He's negative, but there could be a short-term pop if there's a trade deal between China and America signed.
SHORT
For years NEPT was in partnerships where they were extracting Omega-3 oils from krill oil and selling that to consumers. Now they're taking that extraction technology and applying it to the cannabis oil market. He's in a wait-and-see spots. The fundamentals don't back the move up in the stock. He has a small short on this.