COMMENT

Trump is the biggest influence on the market, both tailwind and headwind: the U.S. tax reform to lower corporate rates, then starts a trade war, creating a vacuum of uncertainty. Is he doing this to open markets down the road? If so, they should play out by the end of 2018, which is a good impetus for markets. Investors should look at assets not as impacted by trade, but benefit from the tax cuts, such as the banks and tech companies. He doesn't believe the US has huge trade surpluses as Trump claims, because so much of U.S. output is services.

COMMENT

Outlook for Canadian banks: Headwinds: Canadians have a high real estate market, a flattening yield curve and fears of a trade war.

COMMENT

Worth buying a few hundred September calls? He likes this bank. They passed their stress test. He needs to see movement on the 10-year rates. If there's no bump, then BAC will have a hard time moving up--a serious headwind. The 10-year should be higher now. If we get an inverted yield curve, that leads to a recession within a year.

DON'T BUY

He doesn't like European banks. They face a lot of headwinds. For example, Deutsche Bank didn't pass their stress test. Look at U.S. or Canadian banks instead. Europe is 18 months behind the U.S. in the business cycle so it's growing at a slower pace.

COMMENT

Writing covered calls against the FANG stocks? He does this and it works very well for him. The premiums are in the second quartile, and these stocks are rising, which report earnings this month, which will be interesting.

PAST TOP PICK

(Past Top Pick, July 17, 2017, Up 5%) It owns the S&P 500 and writes covered calls on it. It typically underpforms the S&P in a rising market and does better in a flat/down market. It's a low-risk ETF and pays a monthly income, but
they're U.S. gains, so that's not good for tax-paying Canadians. This is okay if you want U.S. income.

COMMENT

Owning this alone isn't a diversified portfolio. BLK is itself diversified, but they operate in a single sector, asset management. Instead, if you're a new stock trader looking to divsersify, then consider at XIU-T to cover the TSX, or EFA to cover Europe.

COMMENT

What's a low-risk ETF for Canadian banks, and is this still a good ETF to be in now during a trade war? He doesn't think there will be a trade war, but banks are the safest place to be in Canada. They make a lot of money and pay good dividends around 4%. They should do okay during rising interest rates. Instead, if you have low/medium-risk, then diversify into fixed income as rates rise. Look at floating rate preferreds.

COMMENT

These are mostly the smaller regional banks, which are raising their dividends after passing the stress test. Higher interest rates will not hurt these dividends unless we get rising rates at the short end of the curve without a commensurate rise of the 10-year rate. Nothing wrong with this ETF at all.

COMMENT

If you were to sell a covered call at 6 months out on the banks, like TD at $76, it doesn't get taken, then drops to $74 before the end of the contract, would you re-sell that $74 contract knowing you would lose money if you were to get called out? Probably not. You would lose your winners and retain your losers, which he doesn't advise. Otherwise, hang onto the stock.

BUY

What's a covered call, international dividend ETF, hedged to the CAD? Just go with the S&P 500, made up of companies that have a footprint around the world. Consider ZWB-T, a covered call on Canadian banks. A hedge against CAD but has global exposure.

PARTIAL SELL

The options on this are some of the most expensive in the U.S. market, though lately the stock has stabilized. If you have made more 100% profit, then take half of it in profits and ride the rest of it out. An interesting company considered an up-and-comer. It's a volatile stock, so beware.

COMMENT

Market. He thinks Canadian energy stocks should have performed much better given how oil prices, converted to Canadian dollars, has risen. Following the OPEC meeting and strong demand forecasted for the latter half of the year, he expects some catch up in the sector. He adds geopolitics in Libya, Venezuela and other others should add to the head winds. He likes the Canadian banks, trading at 10-12 times earnings and there have been reports of good earnings growth. He would be adding to his holdings in this space.

COMMENT

CN Rail versus CP. He does not see the tariff war directly impacting the rail companies. CN (CNR-T) is a little more exposed to cross-border trade, however. CN is a core holding in his portfolio. He does not hold CP. He would not add to his position, rather would continue to hold.

COMMENT

CN Rail versus CP. He does not see the tariff war directly impacting the rail companies. CN (CNR-T) is a little more exposed to cross-border trade, however. CN is a core holding in his portfolio. He does not hold CP. He would not add to his position, rather would continue to hold.