Market. Lots of noise out there. People are positioning for Trump. At the end of the day you have to ask, are sane and rational people going to get self-inflected wounds? There is going to be drama along the way, but he thinks in the end what is going to end the cycle is what usually ends the cycle which is interest rates or extreme valuations. None of which are really flashing now. Some areas, like the TSX, are undervalued. OPEC has engineered a false market for oil. Differentials in Canada are narrowing and if that continues there is going to be great opportunity in Canada for the oil patch.
They are shrinking their product line to mostly trucks and SUV. It is kind of a risky move. The good news is if this works they will have higher margins. It is dirt cheap at 7.6 times earnings and a dividend yield of 5% with a 50% payout ratio. You can sell puts. If you get put in you get 5% dividend yield. Not a stock that can hurt you much at these levels.
Very frustrating name that hasn’t done much in terms of capital appreciation. Model to grow their earnings at 9% over their forecast horizon. Trading at 9.3 times earnings. They own 80% of Great-West Life (GWO-T) and the rest is Mackenzie Financial and Investors Group. Steady eddy that is not going to hurt you.