It's modestly undervalued now. Restructuring has borne some fruit, though the market hasn't responded to HBC in kind. Them getting out of luxury lines makes sense at this stage in the economy with limited discetionary spending. He prefers placing this in the retail, and not real estate, space. This is a consumer discretionary stock late in the cycle.
Market and interest rate cycles: Bond market performance has been weak in both Canada and the U.S. Current 2.9-3% U.S. 10-year yields are still low to those who remember the 5-10% days, but compared to the moves from last year, these are big. So, yes, it's been a quick, sudden move. Some may say this is already a bear market for bonds. The street thinks rates will keep going up and up. But remember the economy is in a late-stage cycle where interest rates do move higher, though the Fed may raise rates too fast. We're getting close to the end of this rate cycle, moving as high as 3.5% which could drag on markets. Given the strong U.S. economy, he sees two more rate hikes this year in the U.S. as well as Canada.
The pipelines have been pressured this year due to troubles in building pipelines. They're also interest-rate sensitive. ENB offers some decent value now with solid growth prospects. The dividend is sustainable. Look at this and start
picking away at it. There's still uncertainty around the Kinder Morgan pipeline--who will eventually buy it?
What are your thoughts on Canadian banks? He likes BMO, TD and Royal for their valuations. He bought TD in the Q1 pullback and has shot up, surpassing his expectations. He wouldn't add to Canadian banks now though they offer decent value on the upside. Be prepared to pull back on Canadian banks if there is a market downturn. The big risk here is if interest rates rise higher than expected and effects mortgages.