It is a microcosm of the S&P 500. It has had a tendency of peaking out at 5.5 times its book value. It usually sinks back 15-20% of its trading value when it hits here. He expected this but this time it did not happen. AAPL-Q has been trying to push higher but every time it gets there it gets pushed down. One thing that is interesting is that if you look at the slope of the growth of AAPL-Q, It was growing aggressively until 2012 and then they started to buy back shares and the growth of the company slowed considerably. Most interesting is that the rate of earnings growth has also slowed down as it has for many other similar companies that have bought back stock. This move to buy back stock is damaging to shareholders. If the company is not reinvesting, the growth slows. They wasted shareholders' money with these buybacks. The ceiling is $161 right now. The book value will go down. If we ever get into a market correction then this stock will have a good one.
(A Top Pick Sep. 1/17, Down 6%) It had a nice yield but lost some altitude. Mall REITs have been doing this because of the AMZN-Q tsunami of the retail industry. They are mostly in Quebec now and it is the strongest province we have right now. CUF.UN-T is trading at a nice discount to book value. He is staying with it.
(A Top Pick Sep. 1/17, Up 14%) He likes the banks and this one in particular, except that this one has reached an upper valuation range where its progress normally stops. They could be capped out for a while. If you are a long term holder then the growth of the company has been 11-13% for a long time. Don’t sell and go away. If it drops then he would be back in like a shot.
There is going to be some growth in book value and therefore shareholder value growth this year. After it pays out the dividend, there is not much left over. It is getting close to 2.5 times book value ($50.51) which is a bottom for it. It will be at an attractive technical position and he would buy it there. The dividend is pretty safe.
Market. Trade wars are hanging over equities. It hangs over Canada more so than the US. Canada is a lot cheaper than the US in terms of price to book (40% cheaper than the US). It is due to financial stocks. They are cheaper in terms of their upside potential. They are 30% of the index in Canada. Very expensive stocks are refusing to correct and this is an ominous sign. Unfortunately the outcome of this tends to be dismal. Until we get a sell signal from the markets, we have to say that it is in a nice trading range.