BUY

(Disclosure: he works as a paid consultant here.) They're working on a product involving AI (machine-learning capabilities). They switched to the Thomson Reuters database, so they now have exposure to 190,000 Thomson Reuters terminals. Blackstone has paid $20 billion to acquire the division from TR that ALY will be interfacing with. With this product, TR increases its access to small and mid-cap companies. Big opportunity here. Canada is seen as a hotbed for AI, particularly Toronto and Montreal.

PAST TOP PICK

(Past Top Pick on April 26, 2017, Down 47%) Provides Cloud software to large U.S. blue-chip brokers. They make great software, but suffers from lumpiness in the size of the contracts they get. Suffers declining revenues and earnings estimates. He sold his holdings a while ago.

COMMENT

It's not part of his database. Earnings appear to be attractive. End of year (June 2018) is expected to earn 7 cents, expecting to grow to 9 cents in June 2019. 14x PE and 30% earnings growth. Stock is rising. Little analyst coverage on this.

COMMENT

Tow boats use sonar to sweep ocean floors for water mines from naval warfare. A niche product which creates barriers to entry from competitors. Just approved by the U.S. Navy for some of its products. The market is finally paying attention to this.

BUY

They have a great opportunity in Quebec where they've just secured a big contract to supply cannabis to the retail market here. There's a good chance of it being bought out. Stock is relatively cheap compared to the big 5 as this industry consolidates.

TOP PICK

Reporting earlier this month with YOY sales up 40%. Free cash flow grew 300% to $1.4 billion. RBC noted that on a $70 WTI, CNQ will generate $70 billion cash flow in 2019. They could buy back stock. Its cash flow will outpace the
sector's. Expect 25-45% upside with rising oil prices. (Analysts' price target $54.37)

TOP PICK

Earnings up 36% based on Q1 report. PE of less than 15x compared to 20x earnings growth forecast. Has reduced its debt by 9% in the past year. They've had a major technical break-out. Sees large upside. (Analysts' price target $40.31)

TOP PICK

Pays a modest dividend. Free cash flow grew by 16% to $855 million. Paid down $300 million in debt in the past year. They grow by acquisitionEarnings to grow 17% this year, 14% in 2019. Multi-quarter breakout with 20% upside. (Analysts' price target $99.70)

COMMENT

Market Outlook. This is historically the part of the year when you want to become more defensive. Typically, that means going to bonds. This year we are in a rising interest rate environment so maybe you don’t want to be there as inflation still keeps coming up. If the Fed keeps on raising rates Poloz will have to follow in suit. 2.2% increase in mortgage expenses for Canadians just year-to-date. Gas up 14%. Inflation needs to be stabilized.

BUY

It has been up in 8 of the last 8 years. Defensive characteristics that you want to see during in the summer. Ideal entry point from a risk/reward perspective. Testing support.

DON'T BUY

The seasonal strength for energy names is from the end of January to the start of May. The demand for energy product has been stellar. There is a trend of lower lows but that has been broken now. Everything looks good for this except for the fact that the seasonal strength is over, and the easy money has been made already. There is another period of strength in July. You might want to pause.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Less prone to cyclical fluctuations in summer. Resisting around the 20-day average. Long term is pretty much on trend. Good summer hold.

COMMENT

Can’t say anything negative Higher highs and higher lows. Momentum indicators still in bullish territory. Not enough history though.

COMMENT

Has outperformed the market in the 15 of the last 19 years. A winter hold. Momentum indicators have diverged.

COMMENT

Parts of the market where you want to flock to during the summer. One of those defensive summer names. High yield. May to August is the period of strength. Not a home run stock but provides a volatility hedge. If rates go much higher, it could have problems. Classic shoulder-head-shoulder from a technical perspective.