Today, Fabrice Taylor and Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA commented about whether IPL-T, GILD-Q, SHOP-T, RAY.A-T, GCL-T, CNQ-T, GH-T, MRE-T, CZO-X, CPG-T, ENB-T, HCG-T, GMX-T, PHO-T, GSV-T, R-T, HSM-T, NLC-X, CLIQ-T, NFI-T, SBUX-Q, HBM-T, HLF-T, CHH-T, DIV-T, COV-X, STB-T are stocks to buy or sell.
[Non-caller Question - news headline regarding class action settlement prompted host question] They recapitalized themselves. A ruling was made today on their lawsuit. This is probably the last thing they had to do to clean up. They were caught because they did business with these guys, caught it and then did not disclose it. The damage did more harm than the discloser. He thinks the shorts may be wrong in this one.
It is worth holding on to even though it is so frustrating. Their revenues and earnings have dripped not due to the core business, but because they used to get one off contracts for their products and have not have one in several quarters. They may get one tomorrow or in a year. There core business is doing okay. It is hard to say if they are worth the market cap. They have interesting trials going on. If that works out they will do well. There are no analysts covering the stock.
A Correction. Volatility is at an all time high in the US. We get corrections all the time. He has never said we are going to have a 30-40% bear market, however last year from 2015 highs to lows in 2016, small caps were down 20% in the US so that is a pretty material correction. We have not had a broad correction in a long time. Calling a top is hard and he never does that. He says he is concerned and it is time to shift the portfolio to more defensive stocks, and ETFs that use covered call strategies. It is about asset allocation and sector diversification. Nobody knows when the top is in. He does not like what he sees over the next couple of years and so is defensive in the way he runs his portfolios.
It is tremendously volatile. We had a pop a number of months ago. He suggested at the time that you start playing with options. This might be just a consolidation. He is cautious on this one. Buy into weakness, but don’t chase breakouts, although that is just part of his style of investing. If it breaks support you have to think it is heading into a lower area.
They are not getting ahead. It should be okay, but you have to manage the balance sheet and the capital structure and so far they are not doing a good job of that.