Today, Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA and James Thorne commented about whether MIC-N, SAN-N, BAC-N, SBLK-Q, PLKI-Q, MITL-Q, AMT-N, BMY-N, MG-T, BX-N, COST-Q, LMT-N, NVDA-Q, THO-T, C-N, XLF-N, BRK.B-N, CMI-N, SYK-N, AIG-N, CSCO-Q, SHLD-Q, BBD.B-T, ZWB-T, REI.UN-T, ZWU-T, ZPR-T are stocks to buy or sell.
ETFs for an RESP at the start of University. As you go into the years where you start to use the funds, you need to make sure the money you will take out each June is not subject to volatility. Take next June’s withdrawal and put it into a money market ETF. The rest can be a short term corporate bond ETF. At some point before the end of the 4 years of school, we will probably have a recession.
Educational Segment. Diverging tax policy in the US and Canada and how to take advantage of it. Trump is addressing a joint session of congress tomorrow night. Trump is going to talk about tax, including border tax. They may not have agreement about tax reform until Q4 this year or even early 2018. They want the tax reforms to be revenue neutral. He is far more bullish in his outlook for the US than Canada. The Canadian dollar could get weaker. PSU-T is a high interest savings account, but you would also make money on the drop of the CAD$ relative to the US$. For more aggressive types you could play it with small caps in the US and an inverse position in Canada. There is volatility ahead with ambitious estimates for earnings growth possibly not happening.
It has a 3.4% yield. He likes it. On a seasonal basis technology may take a breather here. As we connect more and more devices up to the cloud this one should benefit. Trump may focus on building out the digital infrastructure in the states. He thinks they will be well placed going forward as we move from the world of analogue to digital. They are executing so you won’t lose any sleep over it. (Analysts’ target: $35.00).
Markets. We have this divergence because we have the liberal budget coming out. Canada is out of cash. The US is going to cut taxes and make it more competitive, making business less efficient here. He thinks what is doable through congress and what Trump would like to do are two very different things. March 15th we next hear from the Fed, March 10th we get another employment number. If we get a good employment number it is 50/50 we get a rate hike. We are due for some volatility soon.