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An interesting story. A great Buy at these levels. Trading at about 8X earnings with a nice dividend yield of almost 4%. The largest generic maker globally. They acquired Allergan’s generic business and there are a lot of costs they can take out. Sometimes generics are focused on one drug, but this company is much more diversified across a wide spectrum of pharmaceutical lines. The market is slightly worried about the change of CEOs, as well as a couple of drugs that need to have a new molecule made. Although a generic maker, they also have a pipeline of branded drugs. In the long run, this company will do very, very well.
Sell? Transports have done quite well in the last while and are up a fair bit. This is trading at about 18X earnings. The rail industry has consolidated quite heavily over the last 5-10 years, so you have seen them really thinking about ROI. Because they have a better efficiency and asset utilization, they’ve had better margins, and that is going to continue. With oil stabilizing and commodities doing a little better, you should see better returns over the next while.
A holding company for many other Brookfield holdings, including real estate. A really well run company. They’ve really narrowed NAV, because it used to trade at a discount. They spin out stuff and you end up getting 1 or 2 shares. An asset management company, so they constantly buy assets. They look for undervalued assets, nurture them and grow them and then either spin them out or sell them. This is always going to trade at a discount to its NAV.
From a valuation perspective, this is not a stock he would own as the metrics are too high for him. When you talk to advertising and Digital media people, and ask where the advertising dollar is going, it is really just going to 2 places; Google and Facebook. They really have a stranglehold on Internet advertising. As print media disappears, it is all going to these 2 companies. They have some real momentum behind them in growing their businesses. The risk from a valuation perspective is if people start seeing this as a media company as opposed to a tech company.
Manulife (MFC-T) or Sun Life (SLF-T)? As interest rates started going up, they have done well in the last little while. To him, this one is much more stable. They’ve had some restructuring going on. Although their asset management business has lost some assets, it is a very strong company and is much better than Manulife’s asset management business. They’ve had the ability to reprice some of their products which is going to help them on the margin side. With rates going up, it totally benefits them. This is a much more stable company and less volatile.
(A Top Pick Feb 11/16. Up 109.35%.) This has done incredibly well since November 9. It is still trading at .8X Book. (Canadian banks are trading at close to 2X Book.) It has a great franchise, whether it is retail or investment banking. He can see a lot of room on the upside. Try to Buy on weakness.
(A Top Pick Feb 11/16. Up 32.48%.) A real estate management company, but also do a lot of other things. They have a large business in the US. Also, have a lot of branded businesses like California Closets, College Pro Painting, etc. Still a fragmented industry, and a lot of it is still “mom and pop”, so every year they make bolt-on acquisitions, so have done a very good job of slowly growing their business. Not a cheap stock, so you have to be careful getting into it. Buy it on weakness.
Growth by acquisition, and have done a very good job over the years of taking over places, reinventing them, etc. Expects there is good growth, especially in the US. Possibly looking at growing in the UK and Ireland. Dominating the convenience store business. Still a lot more room in the US to do that. Acquisitions have to be bigger to make a difference to them, but when they make an acquisition, the stock will probably pull back and that’s when you need to be a buyer. They are very good at integrating acquisitions, bringing down their costs and making the supply chain really work to their benefit. Trading at 17X next year’s earnings, so it is not expensive.
TransCanada (TRP-T) or Enbridge (ENB-T) for a 10-year hold? Both companies have done something very interesting by making big US acquisitions. He likes Enbridge because he thinks there is some very good growth and management has been spectacular. Management in this one has not been as consistent.
If there is a bigger electrification of cars, this will benefit far more than other auto parts suppliers. Also, it is a much more diversified global business. People are really expecting the car industry to not have the growth it has had over the last 3-4 years. Not expensive and pays a nice dividend.
This industry is doing very well and they have the winds to their back. Coming out with new products. There has been good reception to the new wide-body planes, which is really helping out a lot of companies. There is certainly potential for this to go higher. They will probably benefit from better global growth, which he expects to see in the next several years.
Market. Because Trump won both houses of Congress, and there was a sense he was going to bring down tax rates, get rid of a lot of red tape, temper Dodd-Frank a little, we need to actually see things getting done and what is on the agenda. There will be some volatility in the market, and you want to Buy the volatility. If he can accomplish even half what he has talked about, it would bode well for the stock market. When you have an opportunity like this, if you like a particular stock and the fundamentals and a particular sector, now would be the time to get in. However, you have to feel comfortable with what you are buying.