Today, Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA and Lyle Stein commented about whether WHR-N, TCN-T, G-T, TA-T, ECA-T, WCP-T, EFL-T, POT-T, CPG-T, REI.UN-T, MST.UN-T, MFC-T, HBM-T, NA-T, HSE-T, CM-T, AQN-T, FFH-T, RY-T, PIF-T, CCO-T, VQS-X, WSP-T, ZWE-T, EXE-T, FIE-T, DB-N are stocks to buy or sell.
Recession in next two years – what to do. He has reduced equity exposure in non-growth funds he manages. He is net short the market in his long/short strategy. He is positioned defensively. He likes ZPW and ZWH in the US. The combination of the two of them yields a little over 7% while you wait for volatility to play out.
Markets. This is a stock pickers market. We have been through the easy part of the market since 2009. Canada has shined. Now what do you do? Economic growth is slowing. It is going to be multiple expansion or earnings that drive the market. He favours gold and REITs. Gold is an insurance policy. People are buying bonds for capital gains. We are seeing massive currency dislocation. Gold is the ultimate defense. Interest rates will be lower for longer.
There has been a tax dispute going on for a while. The depressed state of the uranium market is hitting them. There needs to be some supply rationalization. We might be getting close to the bottom of the uranium market. He would not buy in right now. The tax dispute will take time. It will not put them under. It is just another overhang.
Markets. OPEC soft agreement: The Saudis have never within the last decade been able to stick to their quotas. Almost assuredly it is not going to happen. He thinks prices will go lower before they go materially higher. He would not trade this story unless you are among the most savvy day traders. We had Brexit and the markets have said it is no issue, but actually it is a massive issue and we will see what it means in the first quarter of next year. Nothing has happened yet.