Today, Bill Harris, CFA commented about whether ALA-T, VET-T, RIO-N, H-T, TECK.B-T, BIP.UN-T, AQN-T, ESI-T, TOU-T, CJ-T, WCP-T, CPG-T, BTE-T, AAV-T, VSN-T, SU-T, LIF-T, BLX-T, SSL-T, NGD-T, ARE-T, PSK-T, THO-T, RDS.A-N are stocks to buy or sell.
Oil Stocks. Western Canada needs around $60 oil to really work. In Cdn$ terms we almost hit that about a month ago, and that is enough to make people feel good and to believe that it is no longer a total disaster. Then the oil price slips, but the feeling is an awful lot better. But it doesn’t mean that we are actually off to the races.
This can become a great Canadian mid-cap producer in 2-3 years’ time, and then you get the valuation bump as well. However, with what they actually have today, the stock is expensive. The other problem is that they have had a run. Gold has had the run, and the Cdn$ has had the run at the Cdn$ gold price. Because of that, he is cautious at this time.
He loves this at $15. Because other people drill their land, you don’t quite know how the world is going to play out. The gas market has had a great jump in gas, and this looks a lot better. It is a great thing to own long-term, but he would just like to try and steal it if he can be patient. He came within $2 in the spring.
A very consistent company over time, and construction is relatively consistent. This is all about their future book. They have debt outstanding. Sometimes the market gets really worried that they have debt, but he thinks it is a very solvent company. It seems hard for the company to grow dramatically, so in really bad times, he is able to buy the bonds with about an 8% yield. Any time the stock is $9-$10, it is interesting, but on a risk/reward basis, where he can buy the bond at 8% it is an incredible way to invest. He just sold his bonds which he felt were fully valued.
Going back 3 years, we had an incredible bull market in gold. All sorts of properties that probably shouldn’t have gone into production, went into production. Huge amounts of money got spent in the industry with not really an internal rate of return. The whole gold sector has bounced back. This one is a whole mixed bag, and to go into all those projects that they acquired at the height of the bull market, there are some real question marks.
There are things on how this company evolved that he doesn’t like. This has a great business in the Port Chicago pipeline, and historically they have taken their money and kind of blown it. Their LNG workings on the West Coast seems to always have pipeline issues in the forest, and along with lower global natural gas prices he questions if it gets built. Prefers TransCanada (TRP-T). Dividend yield of about 9.5%.