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Markets. The S&P 500 is showing wide divergence in stocks, more than is historically normal. A lot has to do with different central-bank policies and the secular changes in the economy. The US$ is going to continue to show strength against other world currencies, because the US central-bank is ahead of everybody else. The European Central Bank and the Bank of England are in a very expansionary monetary policy mode. Bank of Japan is considering “helicopter money”, which could consist in part of having the government issue bonds to the bank of Japan with no maturity and zero interest rates.

BUY

The 1 and 5 year charts show it making new highs and it looks good. It was trading in a range from 2014 to 2016 with a support level at around $38. It broke out of the range this year which is always a bullish sign, so it has some ways to go. If you own, he would add to it.

DON'T BUY

The 1-year chart shows an inverted head and shoulders base formation, giving support at around $11.40. The 5-year chart shows resistance at around $16. It might go a little bit higher in the short run, but you are running into a mountain of overhead supply of people owning stocks. He would not be that bullish on this. The dividend of almost 10% is a warning sign.

HOLD

Has a large interest in financing. The 1-year chart shows it has been in an uptrend and making new highs. The 5-year chart shows the trend is very healthy. The stock should go higher and he would recommend it for a longer-term hold.

COMMENT

This is not performing as poorly as the crude oil complex, because it does not have exposure to production. The short term chart is neutral. It probably attracts a lot of dividend seekers. The longer-term chart shows an overhead supply from 2013 to 2015, but is now struggling. There should be resistance at $16-$17 and upwards. Yield of about 9%.

COMMENT

The 5-year chart shows an overhead supply from 2012 to 2015. It is just recovering back to the neck line of around $28, and when it reaches that, there are a ton of people that would like to Sell.

COMMENT

The chart shows a trading range from 2014 on, which it has just broken out of, which is always a good sign. It reached a higher high, and is now testing that high. Retesting the high indicates that buyers are so convinced that they do not mind paying previously high prices. It also means that sellers have been exhausted.

COMMENT

A tough case, because at first it was a good gadget maker, but has now fallen behind the iPhones and Android’s, and is now trying to reinvent itself. It needs a catalyst to move it higher or lower, but there is a lot of uncertainty about its prospect.

COMMENT

The chart shows very good support at around $24, but you always have to look at the volatility. This one has been up to $100, so it has been a pretty big roller coaster. Not everybody has the stomach for this. You should expect some resistance at around $60. Not for the faint hearted.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick May 9/16. Down 16.59%.) Specializes in vegetable-based proteins, lentils, and is very popular among the younger generation. The short term drop is mainly due to a supply constraint, a temporary phenomenon. Harvest season is going to be much better in the next 2-3 quarters, and he continues to like this.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick May 9/16. Up 5.22%.) Chart shows a very nice short term base formation in 2015-2016. The price is “hanging around the highs”, so it is going higher. Made a good acquisition in Europe. They sell 35% to Asia and 35% to Europe. Freezing technology is fantastic now.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick May 9/16. Up 4.81%.) This continues to do very well. Made some very good acquisitions, and are doing a pretty good job in cost savings. The price is “hanging around the highs”, so buyers are more enthusiastic, and the sellers are getting taken out. Demand continues to be strong, so this will go higher.

COMMENT

Just hit a new all-time high. This pays a steady dividend, and in an environment where there is a lot of uncertainty, it becomes a very attractive. It is attractive both on a yield basis and on a safety basis. If you own, he would consider taking some money off the table if it goes another 3%-4% higher. If you can make one year’s yield in terms of capital gains, 4%, take it.

SELL

Short or Buy? This has gone from mid-$50 to below $10. The recent rally to $12.57 may seem impressive, but looking at a 5-year chart, this is still in a major downtrend. Commodities have just finished a major cycle, and going by past history, it takes 3, 5, or even 7 years for big commodity cycles to recover and go back up. He would not hold this one.

SELL

From 2013, the chart shows a massive head and shoulder formation, and it is quite normal for prices to recover back to the neck line, and then the next move is probably lower. All the people that got caught in the overhead supply are waiting to Sell. He would not recommend holding this.