Today, Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA and Darren Sissons commented about whether TEF-N, CRH-N, OTEX-T, 0168-HK, GE-N, BBT-N, SL-LSE, PHG-N, HMC-N, UL-N, DEO-N, AXP-N, BAC-N, CCL.B-T, WMGI-Q, KEP-SP, BP-N, SAN-N, EMC-N, CSU-T, BRK.B-N, ALU-N, LYG-N, DDD-N, XID-T, IMO-T, CSX-Q, BNP-T, AAPL-Q are stocks to buy or sell.
Markets. Greece will likely have the money for their debt payment later this month. But nothing has been fixed here. It doesn’t matter if Greece leaves the Euro. Their economy is not big enough to matter. He thinks the debt holders will take a big haircut. Over 5-10 years other countries will line up to leave the Euro. Greece is the test case. China released the weakest numbers in a year, but the money is coming out of real estate. You don’t want to play China at this point. We could get a pull back in China in the back half of this year as much as 30%.
Markets. The US is starting to roll over, especially the multinationals. Europe is getting QE injections and so we could see higher values there. There is value in Asia. If the oil price had not dropped we would have seen rates rise in Canada. If oil prices come back up we will at least see interest rates rise in the US. He is sitting on high levels of cash and just starting to look for value to buy. He is underweight on oil. He started investing in Europe 3 years ago. It is now a multiple expansion story as much of the gains have happened. Pick your spots and try to buy value when you can.
Educational Segment. Stops. He loves ETFs for diversification. With a single stock you tend to fall in love with it and average down. You never want to have more than 5% in any one security, otherwise you are gambling. Take SU-T. A recent low was $29. A recent high was $40. At $39, you have 4 or 5% upside. Back in 2012, it was in the mid $20s. You have 8% downside and 4% upside. At $35, you have a much better risk reward ratio. Move in slowly and if it ever goes below your stop, get out. Don’t average down.