Chart shows a little bit higher lows, which is really positive. However, there is a downtrend from September, and it looks like it has broken up through that. Because of this, we could be looking for a decent pattern in the $39-$40 area. Indicators are acting positively. The MACD is starting to come above zero which gives you a bit more trust in the other things that you see. This is one that you are going to have to either buy it lower or buy it on a breakout to a new high, as opposed to in between price action for the last year or two.
The one area he would be concerned with is when it gets below the $20 level, because that is going to bring in the $17 support level pretty quickly. The technicals target for this was $25, which it hit, and then rolled right off it beautifully. He would look at getting out at $21. If it gets above $45, then you buy some more.
Technical target hasn’t changed much. It is still calling for a bit lower level at around $32. However, it has registered some positive action as it has broken out. That could be positive in 2 ways. It could be a break away gap, or it could be an exhaustion gap. If you own, you could put a stop loss at around $48 on the basis that it could go back to test the lower level at around $41. He would wait for it to prove itself one way or another or buy it a bit lower.
Auto parts manufacturer which is well-liked on the street. The chart over the last 12 months shows that it has actually gone nowhere. The stock doesn’t seem to have a direction. A lot of volatility is showing from 2013. If you buy this and are a long-term investor, you are going to have to go through some volatility. The technical target is around $20.
Gold is a really interesting idea right now. From a risk/reward perspective, he thinks it is fantastic. It has been beaten down, but there are early signs of consolidation. The pretty big November low is positive. The action following that really shook the investors and probably deflated a lot of the hopes of gold investors. From November on, there is a little nascent trend starting. He thinks the upside is really strong going forward. If he is wrong, the risk/reward is pretty good.
This is growth by acquisition. He looked at this, but it was a little too small. Chart shows a gradual upward pitch from last May. Then there were some fundamentals that pushed it higher from December on. It is right on the trend line. It is pretty volatile. The technical target changed a couple days ago and is around $65 now. It is not interesting to him at this time.
Would you consider Shorting this? Whenever you get one that pays a dividend, it gets a little bit dicey when it comes to Shorting. If this broke above the $14 level, he would say that Shorting would be wrong because something else is going on. Right now, he wouldn’t consider Shorting, but would probably go Long. Just keep your Stops tight.
This is in the right space to him. It is in a sector that he thinks is going to change humanity in a way the PC changed things in 1982, the way the baby boomers did it coming back from the war, or the 2nd Industrial Revolution. These are large secular pictures that really moved society. They happen in such a way that you actually don’t see the occurrences while you’re in them. If you don’t want to look at this one in particular, you can look at any of the biotech related ETF’s. He doesn’t own any of these, but is waiting with bated breath for an opportunity to do that.
This is what he would call a punt. You could put a little bit, such as 1% allocation to see if it would work. The low points in October, December, January and March flushed out a lot of the sellers and the upside target moved substantially higher. It doesn’t mean it is going to happen, but it laid the groundwork. It is going to rely much more on what is going to happen with oil. Recent earnings were really good. If it started to break above the $43 high in November he would probably add that next little chunk. The downside from here would be about 5%, so the odds are in your favour.
This is really a valuation pick within a space that had come off since January. The numbers in January were fantastic. It had really accelerated from October then had a big fall this winter. A big move for a utility company. Has a really nice upside from a technical basis. Risk/reward is really good. If it broke down 5%-6%, then he would back out.