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Although listed in the US, this is really a European name, but diversified across about 140 different countries. Even though they may not be as diversified as its peers, they have a pretty decent focus and mixture. Focused mainly on vaccines and drug R&D, but also have some pretty well-known consumer product brands that people are familiar with. The issue is that it is a little bit more focused on the hefty dividend payment. Payout ratio is about 70% while its peers are more like 50%-60%. Because of this the multiple is lower, and trades at a discount to the others.
Exceptionally strong in terms of its turnaround that, by and large, has already been orchestrated, and is reflected in the stock price. He is trimming his holdings because of the weighting in portfolios. Has one of the best growth rates, when you look at the “growing crude by rail” story, as well as the requirement to transport grain and intermodal.
Contracts for potash pricing have come down quite substantially. Have shortened up in terms of the duration, so there is an element of expectation that these prices may not be so depressed for an extended period of time. Feels the stock has really gotten ahead of itself. He would be an owner in the low $30’s or below $30. Agrium (AGU-T) would be a better, more diversified play, and also has a better growth profile.
Somewhat of a unique business proposition, because this has got innovations that have proven to be able to generate revenues. The issue is that the multiple is so high. As a GARP investor it is difficult for him to rationalize this one. Expects you could see a good 10%-15% reasonable result from here.
Has exceptionally good assets, great management team and increased dividends. You also have the advantage of refining capacity. It’s not just a matter of being able to extract heavy oil out of the ground, but you have to go through the processes of refining it. This company probably has some of the best operations in the country.
There has been an increase in food inflation, and he thinks that is going to spell a rise in interest rates eventually. Wait for a better time on this. Sees their catalyst as the mainline reversal through Eastern Canada, but the valuation is rich. To add to his holdings, he would probably look at something under $50.
(A Top Pick June 20/13. Up 32.76%.) Has been a beneficiary of the rise in energy. A former trust, so pays a very hefty dividend. Focused on light and medium oil as well as their water flood technology, which really expands the productivity of the recovery capability on their wells. Some pretty good catalysts lining up for this one.
(A Top Pick June 20/13. Up 38.26%.) An exceptionally interesting company that is so little known and so little talked about. What is really well-known are some of their customers, Heinz, L’Oreal, Unilever, etc. Pretty much any food or fragrance or anything that has a taste or aroma to it, this company is responsible in some way, shape or form. This is what gives them the added benefit of pricing power.
(A Top Pick June 20/13. Up 47.16%.) Saw a transformational acquisition, when they decided to purchase Life Technologies. It really expanded their network, and gave them the ability to cross sell their products in new markets. Even though it is still early days for them to realize the synergies, there could be earnings north of $7 a share going forward. Paying down their debt, but also streamlining the business by selling one of their lab equipment and supply companies.
Last year was actually a peak year in terms of the box office tally. Year to date, there have been 2 elements. 1) A few flops at the box office, and 2) a very long and cold winter. What is important is not just a movie house itself, but their forays into digital media. Also, 40% of their revenue is generated from concessions. They also have 50% ownership in an arcade equipment manufacturer. Feels management is very friendly for the shareholder in being able to extract value. Very robust and healthy yield at 3.8%. At 20X PE it is expensive, but historically that is pretty cheap.
In the process of streamlining its business. They are trying to parcel out the financial arm of the business. This helps them to hone in on what is really doing well for them, the industrial front, jet engine, power generation, etc. Have their hand in so many different areas. If the biggest growth component is on the industrial front, he would probably look to a company that is a little more honed in on that space such as United Technologies (UTX-N).
Holds this and is very happy with it. Good management. Has been trimming his holdings at around $79, and moving out of that sector and into mid-cycle names. Feels this particular area is going to have a challenging time should rising interest rates come in. These are effectively fixed income proxies in the utility space. Feels there are headwinds on a go forward basis. If you are an investor that is focused on a consistent and healthy dividend income, he would look at picking up a name like this because the management team is so wonderful. Would prefer in the low $70’s.
Thinks they will benefit from the overall shift towards the more industrial build out. More infrastructure with more people migrating into the middle class space, which means a higher amount of traffic for air travel. With the UK air show going on there is probably some healthy capability for new contracts to be signed. However, in the context of being able to extract value, ideally you would like to go to a company that has pricing power such as a component maker for them, such as United Technologies (UTX-N).
Economy. Feels we are in the middle of the economic cycle which has been elongated by central banks. You have the Dow Jones up 3%, S&P up 6% and the TSX up 12%. You are really looking at a continuation of markets chugging along this mid-cycle period, where companies within industrial or technology spaces get the benefit from an increase and a ramp-up in capital expenditure. We are still working in the wake of the great recession, which saw about $400 billion of capital, escape the markets. One of the byproducts of that is that there are companies sitting on $1.7 trillion of cash. That cash is starting to get deployed in the realm of capital expenditure, and you are starting to see a little bit of increase in merger and acquisition activity. An example of a company that would be a beneficiary of the increase in overall infrastructure and industrial buildout would be United Technologies (UTX-N).