DON'T BUY
Very cheap at about 1.9X Debt Adjusted Cash Flow basis. Did large equity financing at inopportune times over the last couple of years. Recently did a substantial equity raise. Fully financed until about 2013 for the 2 North Sea projects. Would like to own it when it reaches full development.
HOLD
It’s a great strategy that they have with China and Mitsubishi. In both cases the partner is picking up more than half the cost. This name he rates a hold because it is quite large (5’th). Everything is looking good but they have not given any clarity as to what will happen post-conversion.
DON'T BUY
Would be one of his least favourite names in this space. High exposure to Natural Gas. Avoid.
BUY
Has some perspective wells. A low cost operator and developer. Feels comfortable with this name.
BUY
This is a name that is a street darling. Guys running it have done an incredible job of putting together a set of world-class assets. If you compare valuation to others, it is not a cheap stock, but is attractive to investors.
BUY
An international, oil weighted story and the market is keying off on this.
COMMENT
Natural Gas: Would all trucks end up running on Natural Gas? Would be at least 10 year to establish the infrastructure and regulatory system.
HOLD
This stock is a trader. Only 5 years of reserve life. They are successfully avoiding some of the shallow gas. They are gas weighted.
HOLD
It’s cheap. It definitely is undervalued. Hold on to it.
PAST TOP PICK
(Top Pick Sep 28/09, Down 8.3% total return) They did a great job of hedging and posted some great numbers. Had best potential going forward, but issue is that it is becoming increasingly difficult to hedge. They want to grow production but everyone is scratching their heads.
PAST TOP PICK
(Top Pick Sept 28/09, Down 7.6%) A good name and one you would consider. The growth story was front a center in last part of ’09 with ‘V’ shape recovery and since then we are talking about ‘U’ shaped or double dip.
PAST TOP PICK
(Top Pick Sept 28/09, Down 6% total return) He boosted his weighting in the fund. This and SU are two of the best names in the large cap space. This is a name that is very attractive.
SELL
Completed strategic review and no buyer could be found. Struggling to meet production. A name to sell or at least not buy.
BUY
Would recommend if you are looking 3-5 years out. They have some great properties. Just starting to apply horizontal drilling. Thinks we will have a bull market in commodities next year in the second quarter. Buy a trust for the yield while you wait. Would recommend AET over this one.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
You have to wait on the commodity boom story. Conversion issue is behind you because their income is international.