Stockchase Research
Member since: Jul '20
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109 Opinions
Latest Top Picks
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly GE has floundered for the past several years, but new initiatives are beginning to change analyst outlooks. The company recently announced its plan to abandon new-build coal-fired plants in favour of renewables and natural gas projects, including wind powered offshore windfarms. Goldman Sachs recently resumed coverage, looking to a $10 target – more than 35% upside. We would trade this with a $6.00 stop-loss. Yield 0.55%. (Analysts’ price target is $9.17)
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly HOG is showing technical breakout signs, which we see testing $36 – over 27% upside. The new Chairman, Jochen Zeitz (who tripled Puma’s share price over a three year turnaround) has slimmed down the product line, and shaved $100 million from annual costs. The urge to return to open roads due to the pandemic is expected to boost sales when new models arrive in 2021. We would trade this with a stop-loss of $23. Yield 0.28%. (Analysts’ price target is $31.73)
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly JBHT recently released results, which resulted in a retracement in the rapid rise in the share price it had enjoyed in since end-September. The shipping company is benefitting from the e-commerce sales rebound, but the company has been temporarily impacted by a shortage of drivers and rising wage costs. Metrics on shipping were all supportive in the lasted earnings. We would trade this with a $110 stop-loss, looking to retract back up to recent highs of $142 – 15% upside. Yield 0.87%. (Analysts’ price target is $141.09)
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly As auto sales are beginning to recover from the effects of pandemic lockdowns, we see GM emerging as a TOP PICK. Signs are showing demand growth in China already -- up 12% during the past three months -- marking the first growth in the region since 2018. In the US, sales topped 665,000 units last quarter, a sharp beat of analyst expectations. Record low loan interest rates are expected to help as well. GM is the most aggressive in EV model plans, which should give them an added edge over the competition. Trading at only 7 times next years earnings, it is good value. We would buy this with a stop-loss at $28, looking to meet analyst expectations over $40. Yield 0%. (Analysts’ price target is $40.75)
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly JPM just reported earnings and the 3% drop in revenue from a year ago, but revenues were $1 billion higher than expected at $29 billion. Investment bank revenues were up 21% over the year thanks to a strong trading segment. EPS was reported at $2.92, beating consensus by $0.73. The company managed to post $611 million in credit-reserves, when the market expected $1.5 billion. It pays a good dividend (backed by a 47% payout ratio) and is likely poised to increase it again soon, when allowed. We would trade this with a stop-loss at $92. Yield 3.59% (Analysts’ price target is $115.90)
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TOP PICK
TOP PICK
October 20, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly GE has floundered for the past several years, but new initiatives are beginning to change analyst outlooks. The company recently announced its plan to abandon new-build coal-fired plants in favour of renewables and natural gas projects, including wind powered offshore windfarms. Goldman Sachs recently resumed coverage, looking to a $10 target – more than 35% upside. We would trade this with a $6.00 stop-loss. Yield 0.55%. (Analysts’ price target is $9.17)
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly GE has floundered for the past several years, but new initiatives are beginning to change analyst outlooks. The company recently announced its plan to abandon new-build coal-fired plants in favour of renewables and natural gas projects, including wind powered offshore windfarms. Goldman Sachs recently resumed coverage, looking to a $10 target – more than 35% upside. We would trade this with a $6.00 stop-loss. Yield 0.55%. (Analysts’ price target is $9.17)
electrical/electronic
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
October 20, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly HOG is showing technical breakout signs, which we see testing $36 – over 27% upside. The new Chairman, Jochen Zeitz (who tripled Puma’s share price over a three year turnaround) has slimmed down the product line, and shaved $100 million from annual costs. The urge to return to open roads due to the pandemic is expected to boost sales when new models arrive in 2021. We would trade this with a stop-loss of $23. Yield 0.28%. (Analysts’ price target is $31.73)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly HOG is showing technical breakout signs, which we see testing $36 – over 27% upside. The new Chairman, Jochen Zeitz (who tripled Puma’s share price over a three year turnaround) has slimmed down the product line, and shaved $100 million from annual costs. The urge to return to open roads due to the pandemic is expected to boost sales when new models arrive in 2021. We would trade this with a stop-loss of $23. Yield 0.28%. (Analysts’ price target is $31.73)
household goods
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
October 20, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly JBHT recently released results, which resulted in a retracement in the rapid rise in the share price it had enjoyed in since end-September. The shipping company is benefitting from the e-commerce sales rebound, but the company has been temporarily impacted by a shortage of drivers and rising wage costs. Metrics on shipping were all supportive in the lasted earnings. We would trade this with a $110 stop-loss, looking to retract back up to recent highs of $142 – 15% upside. Yield 0.87%. (Analysts’ price target is $141.09)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly JBHT recently released results, which resulted in a retracement in the rapid rise in the share price it had enjoyed in since end-September. The shipping company is benefitting from the e-commerce sales rebound, but the company has been temporarily impacted by a shortage of drivers and rising wage costs. Metrics on shipping were all supportive in the lasted earnings. We would trade this with a $110 stop-loss, looking to retract back up to recent highs of $142 – 15% upside. Yield 0.87%. (Analysts’ price target is $141.09)
Transportation
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
October 15, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly As auto sales are beginning to recover from the effects of pandemic lockdowns, we see GM emerging as a TOP PICK. Signs are showing demand growth in China already -- up 12% during the past three months -- marking the first growth in the region since 2018. In the US, sales topped 665,000 units last quarter, a sharp beat of analyst expectations. Record low loan interest rates are expected to help as well. GM is the most aggressive in EV model plans, which should give them an added edge over the competition. Trading at only 7 times next years earnings, it is good value. We would buy this with a stop-loss at $28, looking to meet analyst expectations over $40. Yield 0%. (Analysts’ price target is $40.75)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly As auto sales are beginning to recover from the effects of pandemic lockdowns, we see GM emerging as a TOP PICK. Signs are showing demand growth in China already -- up 12% during the past three months -- marking the first growth in the region since 2018. In the US, sales topped 665,000 units last quarter, a sharp beat of analyst expectations. Record low loan interest rates are expected to help as well. GM is the most aggressive in EV model plans, which should give them an added edge over the competition. Trading at only 7 times next years earnings, it is good value. We would buy this with a stop-loss at $28, looking to meet analyst expectations over $40. Yield 0%. (Analysts’ price target is $40.75)
Automotive
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
October 15, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly JPM just reported earnings and the 3% drop in revenue from a year ago, but revenues were $1 billion higher than expected at $29 billion. Investment bank revenues were up 21% over the year thanks to a strong trading segment. EPS was reported at $2.92, beating consensus by $0.73. The company managed to post $611 million in credit-reserves, when the market expected $1.5 billion. It pays a good dividend (backed by a 47% payout ratio) and is likely poised to increase it again soon, when allowed. We would trade this with a stop-loss at $92. Yield 3.59% (Analysts’ price target is $115.90)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly JPM just reported earnings and the 3% drop in revenue from a year ago, but revenues were $1 billion higher than expected at $29 billion. Investment bank revenues were up 21% over the year thanks to a strong trading segment. EPS was reported at $2.92, beating consensus by $0.73. The company managed to post $611 million in credit-reserves, when the market expected $1.5 billion. It pays a good dividend (backed by a 47% payout ratio) and is likely poised to increase it again soon, when allowed. We would trade this with a stop-loss at $92. Yield 3.59% (Analysts’ price target is $115.90)
Financial Services
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
October 15, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Earnings continue even during the pandemic and now this maker of PPE and sanitizing products is likely getting ready to increase its dividend once it goes ex-div on October 29. Recent earnings came in at expectations, so the 65% payout ratio on the dividend will be safe. The stock is trading off its recent highs following earnings. We would trade this with a stop-loss at $42. We expect when a resurgence in share price emerges that it will look to challenge new highs near $53 -- almost 20% upside. Yield 2.22% (Analysts’ price target is $46.25)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Earnings continue even during the pandemic and now this maker of PPE and sanitizing products is likely getting ready to increase its dividend once it goes ex-div on October 29. Recent earnings came in at expectations, so the 65% payout ratio on the dividend will be safe. The stock is trading off its recent highs following earnings. We would trade this with a stop-loss at $42. We expect when a resurgence in share price emerges that it will look to challenge new highs near $53 -- almost 20% upside. Yield 2.22% (Analysts’ price target is $46.25)
misc industrial products
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
October 15, 2020
(A Top Pick Sep 10/20, Down 13.9%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly HRTG has moved down through our stop-loss level. Although the stock has demonstrated a base is forming, we do not see any new fundamental developments to warrant continuing to wait it out. We are recommending to cover and look for newer opportunities.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick Sep 10/20, Down 13.9%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly HRTG has moved down through our stop-loss level. Although the stock has demonstrated a base is forming, we do not see any new fundamental developments to warrant continuing to wait it out. We are recommending to cover and look for newer opportunities.
insurance
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
October 15, 2020
(A Top Pick Sep 10/20, Down 6.1%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly CSCO has broken down through our stop-loss at $40. We do not see sufficient new fundamental developments to warrant continuing to hold the position at this time. We are looking for better opportunities elsewhere.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick Sep 10/20, Down 6.1%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly CSCO has broken down through our stop-loss at $40. We do not see sufficient new fundamental developments to warrant continuing to hold the position at this time. We are looking for better opportunities elsewhere.
electrical/electronic
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
October 13, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly With increased e-commerce, packaging has increased as well. This is something IP is well positioned to provide. Analysts at Wells Fargo and Bank of America have just upped their outlook to over $50. It trades at 16 times next year earnings, compared to 20 times for the broader market. The stock has had a good run up lately, so we would look to buy this on a pullback towards $36. Yield 4.61% (Analysts’ price target is $43.85)
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly With increased e-commerce, packaging has increased as well. This is something IP is well positioned to provide. Analysts at Wells Fargo and Bank of America have just upped their outlook to over $50. It trades at 16 times next year earnings, compared to 20 times for the broader market. The stock has had a good run up lately, so we would look to buy this on a pullback towards $36. Yield 4.61% (Analysts’ price target is $43.85)
paper products/business forms
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
October 13, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Although analysts expect retail spending to grow this holiday by 1.5%, e-commerce sales are expected to be up 25-35% -- and AMZN is the king of this space. Q2 sales were up 40%, revenue up 47% and net income was nearly double year ago levels. The stock recently made a pullback and has re-ignited once again. We like the technical breakout, which now projects up towards $3900. We would trade this with a stop-loss at $2900.
Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $3726.00)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Although analysts expect retail spending to grow this holiday by 1.5%, e-commerce sales are expected to be up 25-35% -- and AMZN is the king of this space. Q2 sales were up 40%, revenue up 47% and net income was nearly double year ago levels. The stock recently made a pullback and has re-ignited once again. We like the technical breakout, which now projects up towards $3900. We would trade this with a stop-loss at $2900.
Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $3726.00)
specialty stores
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
October 13, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly If you are looking for an up and coming market disrupting company, RKT could be it. The company provides an online way to help clients apply for mortgages, execute contracts, handle monthly payments and provide real-time mortgage quotes. The company just announced a partnership with a major online realty search company. Earnings are up over 200% from a year ago, for the company that just went public in August. Loan originations were up over 125%. We would trade this with a stop-loss at $20. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $27.75)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly If you are looking for an up and coming market disrupting company, RKT could be it. The company provides an online way to help clients apply for mortgages, execute contracts, handle monthly payments and provide real-time mortgage quotes. The company just announced a partnership with a major online realty search company. Earnings are up over 200% from a year ago, for the company that just went public in August. Loan originations were up over 125%. We would trade this with a stop-loss at $20. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $27.75)
Financial Services
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
October 13, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly CYBR is cybersecurity company that will benefit from remote and work-from-home environments. Its latest EPS of $0.42, exceeded expectations for $0.27. Recurring license revenue is up 25% on the year. The stock has been on a tear lately, so we would look to purchase on a pullback towards $107. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $125.70)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly CYBR is cybersecurity company that will benefit from remote and work-from-home environments. Its latest EPS of $0.42, exceeded expectations for $0.27. Recurring license revenue is up 25% on the year. The stock has been on a tear lately, so we would look to purchase on a pullback towards $107. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $125.70)
Technology
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
October 13, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly The world leader in denim beat analysts estimates for earnings by 23%. Sales have been down due to the pandemic, but its e-commerce sales were up over 50%, accounting for 24% of total revenue. Morgan Stanley and Citigroup have upgraded the stock. We like the recent technical break out and see $22 as an achievable upper target -- 38% upside. We would trade this with a $12 stop-loss. Yield 1.98% (Analysts’ price target is $18.70)
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly The world leader in denim beat analysts estimates for earnings by 23%. Sales have been down due to the pandemic, but its e-commerce sales were up over 50%, accounting for 24% of total revenue. Morgan Stanley and Citigroup have upgraded the stock. We like the recent technical break out and see $22 as an achievable upper target -- 38% upside. We would trade this with a $12 stop-loss. Yield 1.98% (Analysts’ price target is $18.70)
Consumer Products
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
October 13, 2020
(A Top Pick Sep 22/20, Up 5.8%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our TOP PICK in WMT has achieved analyst targets. Although we think there is more upside to come, we are recommending moving the stop-loss up closer the acquisition cost to $136, from the previous $120.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick Sep 22/20, Up 5.8%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our TOP PICK in WMT has achieved analyst targets. Although we think there is more upside to come, we are recommending moving the stop-loss up closer the acquisition cost to $136, from the previous $120.
department stores
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
October 13, 2020
(A Top Pick Aug 25/20, Up 6.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our TOP PICK in UNH has achieved analyst targets. We like the technical breakout and could see a test of $350 soon. We recommend moving the stop-loss from $280 up closer to the acquisition cost to $300.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick Aug 25/20, Up 6.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our TOP PICK in UNH has achieved analyst targets. We like the technical breakout and could see a test of $350 soon. We recommend moving the stop-loss from $280 up closer to the acquisition cost to $300.
medical services
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