Stockchase Research
Member since: Jul '20
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Latest Top Picks
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly LEN recently reported revenue growth over 21%, easily beating the consensus outlook. New orders is creating a growing back log for the home builder company. Margins are doubling to over 26%, while SG&A expenses are declining -- all going directly to the bottom line. Cash reserves are over $2.5 billion, even after retiring over $300 million in debt, which resulted in S&P revising their rating to investment grade. The stock is setting up a nice technical foundation, which we think could propel the stock ultimately to $121 -- upside potential over 23%. We would buy this with a stop loss at $70. It also pays a dividend, backed by a payout ratio less than 15% of cash flow. Yield 1.02% (Analysts’ price target is $109.50)
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly VRTX is a previous Top Pick that had two setbacks that caused us to recommend moving to the sidelines. However, its diversified portfolio of therapeutic drugs continues to play a leading role in the potential treatment of cystic fibrosis worldwide. It trades at 17x earning compared to peers at 43x. It has been adding cash reserves that are now estimated to exceed $8 billion. We would buy this with a stop loss at $165, looking to achieve $275 -- upside over 46%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $275.86)
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly DIR is a leading dividend payer that will benefit with the re-opening of the economy. It has a great yield, backed by a payout ratio under 50% of cash flow. It trades at 10x earnings compared to peers at 17x and is valued at just 1.2x book value. Good value here. We would buy this with a stop loss at $12.50. We like this as a defensive holding, so would continue to hold this until it triggers our trailing stop. Yield 4.61% (Analysts’ price target is $15.66)
(A Top Pick Mar 30/21, Up 21.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with ADBE has achieved its $565 target. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering 50% of the holding and trailing up the stop to $465 -- the original recommended entry.
(A Top Pick Jan 26/21, Up 27.2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with CVLG has triggered our stop at $19. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in an investment return exceeding 27%.
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Expert
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TOP PICK
TOP PICK
June 22, 2021
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly LEN recently reported revenue growth over 21%, easily beating the consensus outlook. New orders is creating a growing back log for the home builder company. Margins are doubling to over 26%, while SG&A expenses are declining -- all going directly to the bottom line. Cash reserves are over $2.5 billion, even after retiring over $300 million in debt, which resulted in S&P revising their rating to investment grade. The stock is setting up a nice technical foundation, which we think could propel the stock ultimately to $121 -- upside potential over 23%. We would buy this with a stop loss at $70. It also pays a dividend, backed by a payout ratio less than 15% of cash flow. Yield 1.02% (Analysts’ price target is $109.50)
Show full opinionHide full opinion
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly LEN recently reported revenue growth over 21%, easily beating the consensus outlook. New orders is creating a growing back log for the home builder company. Margins are doubling to over 26%, while SG&A expenses are declining -- all going directly to the bottom line. Cash reserves are over $2.5 billion, even after retiring over $300 million in debt, which resulted in S&P revising their rating to investment grade. The stock is setting up a nice technical foundation, which we think could propel the stock ultimately to $121 -- upside potential over 23%. We would buy this with a stop loss at $70. It also pays a dividend, backed by a payout ratio less than 15% of cash flow. Yield 1.02% (Analysts’ price target is $109.50)
REAL ESTATE
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
June 22, 2021
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly VRTX is a previous Top Pick that had two setbacks that caused us to recommend moving to the sidelines. However, its diversified portfolio of therapeutic drugs continues to play a leading role in the potential treatment of cystic fibrosis worldwide. It trades at 17x earning compared to peers at 43x. It has been adding cash reserves that are now estimated to exceed $8 billion. We would buy this with a stop loss at $165, looking to achieve $275 -- upside over 46%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $275.86)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly VRTX is a previous Top Pick that had two setbacks that caused us to recommend moving to the sidelines. However, its diversified portfolio of therapeutic drugs continues to play a leading role in the potential treatment of cystic fibrosis worldwide. It trades at 17x earning compared to peers at 43x. It has been adding cash reserves that are now estimated to exceed $8 billion. We would buy this with a stop loss at $165, looking to achieve $275 -- upside over 46%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $275.86)
Pharma & Healthcare
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
June 22, 2021
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly DIR is a leading dividend payer that will benefit with the re-opening of the economy. It has a great yield, backed by a payout ratio under 50% of cash flow. It trades at 10x earnings compared to peers at 17x and is valued at just 1.2x book value. Good value here. We would buy this with a stop loss at $12.50. We like this as a defensive holding, so would continue to hold this until it triggers our trailing stop. Yield 4.61% (Analysts’ price target is $15.66)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly DIR is a leading dividend payer that will benefit with the re-opening of the economy. It has a great yield, backed by a payout ratio under 50% of cash flow. It trades at 10x earnings compared to peers at 17x and is valued at just 1.2x book value. Good value here. We would buy this with a stop loss at $12.50. We like this as a defensive holding, so would continue to hold this until it triggers our trailing stop. Yield 4.61% (Analysts’ price target is $15.66)
REAL ESTATE
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
June 22, 2021
(A Top Pick Mar 30/21, Up 21.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with ADBE has achieved its $565 target. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering 50% of the holding and trailing up the stop to $465 -- the original recommended entry.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick Mar 30/21, Up 21.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with ADBE has achieved its $565 target. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering 50% of the holding and trailing up the stop to $465 -- the original recommended entry.
computer software/processing
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
June 22, 2021
(A Top Pick Jan 26/21, Up 27.2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with CVLG has triggered our stop at $19. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in an investment return exceeding 27%.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick Jan 26/21, Up 27.2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with CVLG has triggered our stop at $19. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in an investment return exceeding 27%.
Transportation
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
June 22, 2021
(A Top Pick Nov 24/20, Up 21.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with MATW has triggered our stop at $36. We recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in an investment return exceeding 21%.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick Nov 24/20, Up 21.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with MATW has triggered our stop at $36. We recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in an investment return exceeding 21%.
management/diversified
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
June 22, 2021
(A Top Pick Oct 15/20, Up 46%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with JPM has triggered its stop at $148. To remain disciplined, we recommending covering the balance of the position. Combined with the previous recommendation to cover 50% of the holding, this will result in a net investment return over 30%.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick Oct 15/20, Up 46%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with JPM has triggered its stop at $148. To remain disciplined, we recommending covering the balance of the position. Combined with the previous recommendation to cover 50% of the holding, this will result in a net investment return over 30%.
Financial Services
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
June 22, 2021
(A Top Pick Feb 02/21, Up 15.2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with CJR.B has triggered its stop at $5.75. We recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in an investment return exceeding 15%.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick Feb 02/21, Up 15.2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with CJR.B has triggered its stop at $5.75. We recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in an investment return exceeding 15%.
entertainment services
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
June 22, 2021
(A Top Pick Oct 27/20, Up 75%)Stochchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with STX has triggered its stop at $85. We recommend covering the balance of the position now. Combined with the previous recommendation to cover 50%, this will result in a net investment return exceeding 50%.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick Oct 27/20, Up 75%)Stochchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with STX has triggered its stop at $85. We recommend covering the balance of the position now. Combined with the previous recommendation to cover 50%, this will result in a net investment return exceeding 50%.
computer software/processing
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
June 17, 2021
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly FUTU is the online digital stock trading platform equivalent of SCHW for Southeast Asia. It has clients in China and recently launched in Singapore and now how over 100,000 clients. Recent reported earnings were up over 300% and its sales have been doubling for 5 consecutive quarters. It is trading at 31x forward earnings versus peers at 53x. Its cash reserves are growing just as quickly. We would buy this with a stop loss at $120, looking to achieve $220 -- upside potential over 45%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $219.16)
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly FUTU is the online digital stock trading platform equivalent of SCHW for Southeast Asia. It has clients in China and recently launched in Singapore and now how over 100,000 clients. Recent reported earnings were up over 300% and its sales have been doubling for 5 consecutive quarters. It is trading at 31x forward earnings versus peers at 53x. Its cash reserves are growing just as quickly. We would buy this with a stop loss at $120, looking to achieve $220 -- upside potential over 45%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $219.16)
Financial Services
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
June 17, 2021
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly LZB recently reported earnings that easily exceeded analyst expectations. Backlog orders suggest they will be at full production capacity for several quarters yet. All their business segments are reporting record demand levels allowing margins to expand. The company has reinstated the dividend and has a payout ratio under 30% of cash flow. They are currently trading at 23x earnings, compared to peers at 40x. We would buy this with a stop loss at $30, looking to achieve $50 -- upside over 36%. Yield 1.00% (Analysts’ price target is $50.00)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly LZB recently reported earnings that easily exceeded analyst expectations. Backlog orders suggest they will be at full production capacity for several quarters yet. All their business segments are reporting record demand levels allowing margins to expand. The company has reinstated the dividend and has a payout ratio under 30% of cash flow. They are currently trading at 23x earnings, compared to peers at 40x. We would buy this with a stop loss at $30, looking to achieve $50 -- upside over 36%. Yield 1.00% (Analysts’ price target is $50.00)
Consumer Products
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
June 17, 2021
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly CFG is a US regional bank that operates 1000 branches in 11 states in the New England, Mid-Atlantic and Midwest regions. It is estimated to hold $23 billion in cash reserves and growing. It trades at 13x earnings compared to peers at 20x. It trades right at book value and pays a great dividend backed by a 65% payout ratio of cash flow that is projected to become 37% based on expected earnings growth. We would buy this with a stop loss at $39, looking to achieve $52 -- upside over 13%. Yield 3.27% (Analysts’ price target is $51.65)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly CFG is a US regional bank that operates 1000 branches in 11 states in the New England, Mid-Atlantic and Midwest regions. It is estimated to hold $23 billion in cash reserves and growing. It trades at 13x earnings compared to peers at 20x. It trades right at book value and pays a great dividend backed by a 65% payout ratio of cash flow that is projected to become 37% based on expected earnings growth. We would buy this with a stop loss at $39, looking to achieve $52 -- upside over 13%. Yield 3.27% (Analysts’ price target is $51.65)
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
June 17, 2021
(A Top Pick Mar 18/21, Down 26.8%)Stochchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with TUP has triggered its stop at $20. We recommend covering the position at this time. We will look for better opportunities elsewhere.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick Mar 18/21, Down 26.8%)Stochchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with TUP has triggered its stop at $20. We recommend covering the position at this time. We will look for better opportunities elsewhere.
Consumer Products
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
June 17, 2021
(A Top Pick Nov 17/20, Up 33.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with CRMT has triggered its stop at $140. We recommend covering any holdings at this time. Combined with our previous recommendation to cover 50% of the position, this results in a total investment return of 30%.
(A Top Pick Nov 17/20, Up 33.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with CRMT has triggered its stop at $140. We recommend covering any holdings at this time. Combined with our previous recommendation to cover 50% of the position, this results in a total investment return of 30%.
Automotive
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
June 17, 2021
(A Top Pick Jan 14/21, Up 15.6%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with TSM has triggered its stop at $75. We recommend covering any holdings at this time. Combined with our previous recommendation to cover 50% of the position, this results in a total investment return of 19%.
(A Top Pick Jan 14/21, Up 15.6%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with TSM has triggered its stop at $75. We recommend covering any holdings at this time. Combined with our previous recommendation to cover 50% of the position, this results in a total investment return of 19%.
food processing
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