Stockchase Research
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72 Opinions
Latest Top Picks
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly XRX has been a laggard during the pandemic as office workers have been remotely working. As employees begin a return to the office environment demand for the company's products will begin to return. Meanwhile the stock is quietly building a solid foundation. Carl Icahn has been accumulating shares steadily through August and purchased another $3 million worth of the stock so far in September. In its latest earnings the company produced $0.15 EPS, when analysts expected a breakeven, even in the face of a 35% drop in revenues. An area of future growth is in their liquid metal 3D printing solution -- allowing companies to manufacture much needed parts with off the shelf alloys. On a measured move basis, we see upside to $25 -- almost 30% upside. It is trading at 74% of book value, with a low historic PE, and offers an attractive yield that is backed by a 28% payout ratio. We would trade this with a $15 stop loss. Yield 5.20% (Analysts’ price target is $18.25)
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We are once again cautioning against a possible market retracement and are recommending this inverse S&P500 ETF as a Top Pick. As it is priced in Canadian dollars it will receive added benefit from a weakening in the Canadian dollar if the market retraces. We recommend this as a hedge against dividend paying stocks. It has a very low MER as well.
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Thus utilities based ETF is a defensive holding that provides a solid yield. This can act as a hedge against investor equity holding in case of a broad market retracement. Utility holdings also benefit during a prolonged low interest rate environment. We would trade this with a $54 stop-loss.
Yield 3.38%
(A Top Pick Aug 25/20, Up 44%) When we recommended this furniture manufacturing company we picked $21 as an upper target. It has smoothly moved through that target. We are now recommending to trail up the stop-loss to $21, looking to cover half of the position should there be a pullback in the stock price.
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly BANF operates 107 commercial banking locations in Oklahoma. Its latest earnings report topped analyst expectations by over 30% and it achieves margins over 23%. EPS has grown on average 8.9% annually over the past five years. The dividend was just raised and pays a decent yield that is backed by a 37% payout ratio. We would trade this with a stop-loss at $39.00. Yield 3.03% (Analysts’ price target is $66.00)
Signal
Opinion
Expert
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BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
September 17, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly The maker of the N95 masks has been in the spot light as they have directly been keeping front line workers safer during the pandemic. For 2020 they expect to have produced 2 billion of the masks and continue to partner with the US Department of Defense. The automotive OEM business has struggled with sales down 44% during the pandemic, but analysts expect that to rebound and that could have a sizable impact to the bottom line. Their health care segment is expected to pick up as well, after seeing a 12% yoy slowdown, as delays in elective procedures are removed. It has an attractive yield that is backed by a payout ratio of 65% of cash flow. We like the technical breakout recently and look for this Top Pick to test $185. We would like to buy on a pullback to $160 -- looking for over 15% upside. Yield 3.47%
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Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly The maker of the N95 masks has been in the spot light as they have directly been keeping front line workers safer during the pandemic. For 2020 they expect to have produced 2 billion of the masks and continue to partner with the US Department of Defense. The automotive OEM business has struggled with sales down 44% during the pandemic, but analysts expect that to rebound and that could have a sizable impact to the bottom line. Their health care segment is expected to pick up as well, after seeing a 12% yoy slowdown, as delays in elective procedures are removed. It has an attractive yield that is backed by a payout ratio of 65% of cash flow. We like the technical breakout recently and look for this Top Pick to test $185. We would like to buy on a pullback to $160 -- looking for over 15% upside. Yield 3.47%
mngmnt/diversified
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
September 17, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly XRX has been a laggard during the pandemic as office workers have been remotely working. As employees begin a return to the office environment demand for the company's products will begin to return. Meanwhile the stock is quietly building a solid foundation. Carl Icahn has been accumulating shares steadily through August and purchased another $3 million worth of the stock so far in September. In its latest earnings the company produced $0.15 EPS, when analysts expected a breakeven, even in the face of a 35% drop in revenues. An area of future growth is in their liquid metal 3D printing solution -- allowing companies to manufacture much needed parts with off the shelf alloys. On a measured move basis, we see upside to $25 -- almost 30% upside. It is trading at 74% of book value, with a low historic PE, and offers an attractive yield that is backed by a 28% payout ratio. We would trade this with a $15 stop loss. Yield 5.20% (Analysts’ price target is $18.25)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly XRX has been a laggard during the pandemic as office workers have been remotely working. As employees begin a return to the office environment demand for the company's products will begin to return. Meanwhile the stock is quietly building a solid foundation. Carl Icahn has been accumulating shares steadily through August and purchased another $3 million worth of the stock so far in September. In its latest earnings the company produced $0.15 EPS, when analysts expected a breakeven, even in the face of a 35% drop in revenues. An area of future growth is in their liquid metal 3D printing solution -- allowing companies to manufacture much needed parts with off the shelf alloys. On a measured move basis, we see upside to $25 -- almost 30% upside. It is trading at 74% of book value, with a low historic PE, and offers an attractive yield that is backed by a 28% payout ratio. We would trade this with a $15 stop loss. Yield 5.20% (Analysts’ price target is $18.25)
misc industrial products
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
September 17, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We are once again cautioning against a possible market retracement and are recommending this inverse S&P500 ETF as a Top Pick. As it is priced in Canadian dollars it will receive added benefit from a weakening in the Canadian dollar if the market retraces. We recommend this as a hedge against dividend paying stocks. It has a very low MER as well.
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We are once again cautioning against a possible market retracement and are recommending this inverse S&P500 ETF as a Top Pick. As it is priced in Canadian dollars it will receive added benefit from a weakening in the Canadian dollar if the market retraces. We recommend this as a hedge against dividend paying stocks. It has a very low MER as well.
E.T.F.'s
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
September 17, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Thus utilities based ETF is a defensive holding that provides a solid yield. This can act as a hedge against investor equity holding in case of a broad market retracement. Utility holdings also benefit during a prolonged low interest rate environment. We would trade this with a $54 stop-loss.
Yield 3.38%
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Thus utilities based ETF is a defensive holding that provides a solid yield. This can act as a hedge against investor equity holding in case of a broad market retracement. Utility holdings also benefit during a prolonged low interest rate environment. We would trade this with a $54 stop-loss.
Yield 3.38%
E.T.F.'s
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
September 17, 2020
(A Top Pick Aug 25/20, Up 44%) When we recommended this furniture manufacturing company we picked $21 as an upper target. It has smoothly moved through that target. We are now recommending to trail up the stop-loss to $21, looking to cover half of the position should there be a pullback in the stock price.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick Aug 25/20, Up 44%) When we recommended this furniture manufacturing company we picked $21 as an upper target. It has smoothly moved through that target. We are now recommending to trail up the stop-loss to $21, looking to cover half of the position should there be a pullback in the stock price.
Consumer Products
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
September 15, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly BANF operates 107 commercial banking locations in Oklahoma. Its latest earnings report topped analyst expectations by over 30% and it achieves margins over 23%. EPS has grown on average 8.9% annually over the past five years. The dividend was just raised and pays a decent yield that is backed by a 37% payout ratio. We would trade this with a stop-loss at $39.00. Yield 3.03% (Analysts’ price target is $66.00)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly BANF operates 107 commercial banking locations in Oklahoma. Its latest earnings report topped analyst expectations by over 30% and it achieves margins over 23%. EPS has grown on average 8.9% annually over the past five years. The dividend was just raised and pays a decent yield that is backed by a 37% payout ratio. We would trade this with a stop-loss at $39.00. Yield 3.03% (Analysts’ price target is $66.00)
banks
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
September 15, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly It will soon be tax time again and HRB is set to see a seasonal uptick in business. Latest earnings beat expectations by almost 50%. Although EPS was negative the company's investment in its online digital platform will better position it for this pandemic based economy. It pays a nice dividend, but its payout ratio of cash flow is a bit high at 84% -- we think improving earnings will keep it safe. We expect some technical resistance near $17, when breached will lead to a test of $20 -- 35% upside. We would trade this with a $13 stop-loss. Yield 7.07% (Analysts’ price target is $20.17)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly It will soon be tax time again and HRB is set to see a seasonal uptick in business. Latest earnings beat expectations by almost 50%. Although EPS was negative the company's investment in its online digital platform will better position it for this pandemic based economy. It pays a nice dividend, but its payout ratio of cash flow is a bit high at 84% -- we think improving earnings will keep it safe. We expect some technical resistance near $17, when breached will lead to a test of $20 -- 35% upside. We would trade this with a $13 stop-loss. Yield 7.07% (Analysts’ price target is $20.17)
other services
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
September 15, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly UGI distributes energy, primarily propane, to over 1.7 million customers through 1900 distribution locations in the US. This is a bit of a seasonal play as their business is getting busy now shipping energy to its customers ahead of winter. It pays a nice dividend that is backed by a payout ratio of only 57% of cash flow. We would trade this with a stop-loss of $30, looking for a return to $45 -- 35% upside. Yield 4.05% (Analysts’ price target is $45.25)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly UGI distributes energy, primarily propane, to over 1.7 million customers through 1900 distribution locations in the US. This is a bit of a seasonal play as their business is getting busy now shipping energy to its customers ahead of winter. It pays a nice dividend that is backed by a payout ratio of only 57% of cash flow. We would trade this with a stop-loss of $30, looking for a return to $45 -- 35% upside. Yield 4.05% (Analysts’ price target is $45.25)
Energy Infrastructure, Industrials & Utilities
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
September 15, 2020
(A Top Pick Aug 25/20, Up 18%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We set $35 as an upper objective for FL as a Top Pick and we have achieved that target. Goldman Sachs just initiated coverage on the company and set a $38 target so we will let our winner run. However, we are suggesting taking 50% of the position off the table. We also recommend trailing up to stop-loss to $26.50. Based on a measured technical move, we would now target $44 as our next upper objective.
(A Top Pick Aug 25/20, Up 18%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We set $35 as an upper objective for FL as a Top Pick and we have achieved that target. Goldman Sachs just initiated coverage on the company and set a $38 target so we will let our winner run. However, we are suggesting taking 50% of the position off the table. We also recommend trailing up to stop-loss to $26.50. Based on a measured technical move, we would now target $44 as our next upper objective.
clothing stores
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
September 10, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly The company is a regional bank and trust company operating in Pennsylvania. It’s recently posted earnings and stock price put the PE at 12.5, well under sector and market levels. It is also trading at less than 70% of book value. Earnings for 2021 are expected to grow by over 40%. We like the dividend yield, which has only a 65% payout ratio. We would trade this with a $14 stop-loss. Yield 5.07% (Analysts’ price target is $19.75)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly The company is a regional bank and trust company operating in Pennsylvania. It’s recently posted earnings and stock price put the PE at 12.5, well under sector and market levels. It is also trading at less than 70% of book value. Earnings for 2021 are expected to grow by over 40%. We like the dividend yield, which has only a 65% payout ratio. We would trade this with a $14 stop-loss. Yield 5.07% (Analysts’ price target is $19.75)
Financial Services
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
September 10, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly MTG provides mortgage insurance in the US, Puerto Rico and Guam. The company released an operational update to end-August indicating the inventory of delinquent loans continues to decrease, with the % of new delinquency notices dropping by over 25% since June. It trades at 69% of book value and EPS is expected to grow to $1.50 per share from $1.44 this year. While still levered to an economic recovery, we make this a Top Pick. The yield is supported by a payout ratio of less than 10% of cash flow. We would trade buy this with a $7.00 stop-loss. Yield 2.69% (Analysts’ price target is $12.43)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly MTG provides mortgage insurance in the US, Puerto Rico and Guam. The company released an operational update to end-August indicating the inventory of delinquent loans continues to decrease, with the % of new delinquency notices dropping by over 25% since June. It trades at 69% of book value and EPS is expected to grow to $1.50 per share from $1.44 this year. While still levered to an economic recovery, we make this a Top Pick. The yield is supported by a payout ratio of less than 10% of cash flow. We would trade buy this with a $7.00 stop-loss. Yield 2.69% (Analysts’ price target is $12.43)
finance/leasing
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
September 10, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly The company provides personal and commercial residential insurance through the Atlantic coast and Alabama and expanding into Mississippi. Recent annual earnings showed a 10% increase in revenues and EPS has grown to $0.42 per share from a 2019 average of $0.02. Analysts look for EPS to grow over 40% next year. It trades at 83% of book value. It pays a small dividend that is well supported by cashflow. We would trade this with a $11.50 stop-loss. Yield 1.94% (Analysts’ price target is $17.00)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly The company provides personal and commercial residential insurance through the Atlantic coast and Alabama and expanding into Mississippi. Recent annual earnings showed a 10% increase in revenues and EPS has grown to $0.42 per share from a 2019 average of $0.02. Analysts look for EPS to grow over 40% next year. It trades at 83% of book value. It pays a small dividend that is well supported by cashflow. We would trade this with a $11.50 stop-loss. Yield 1.94% (Analysts’ price target is $17.00)
insurance
PAST TOP PICK
PAST TOP PICK
September 8, 2020
(A Top Pick Aug 27/20, Down 12%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We are choosing to remain disciplined and stick to our stop-loss at $35 and look for better alternatives. Now that key technical support has been breached it could try to retest lows near $25.
Show full opinionHide full opinion(A Top Pick Aug 27/20, Down 12%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We are choosing to remain disciplined and stick to our stop-loss at $35 and look for better alternatives. Now that key technical support has been breached it could try to retest lows near $25.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
September 8, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We are being rewarded for being patient. We suggested to buy this on weakness on a pullback. CNR recently reported earnings and the stock jumped over 20%. EPS increased 50% to $0.21 per share (including a sizable tax gain), when the market was expecting a net loss and the company has a record order backlog. The company designs and manufacturers building products for non-residential construction, siding and windows. We would trade this with a stop-loss at $6.50, with a target to revisit $9.50 (25% upside). Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $10.51)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We are being rewarded for being patient. We suggested to buy this on weakness on a pullback. CNR recently reported earnings and the stock jumped over 20%. EPS increased 50% to $0.21 per share (including a sizable tax gain), when the market was expecting a net loss and the company has a record order backlog. The company designs and manufacturers building products for non-residential construction, siding and windows. We would trade this with a stop-loss at $6.50, with a target to revisit $9.50 (25% upside). Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $10.51)
wholesale distributors
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
September 8, 2020
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We are being rewarded for our patience as this was a buy on weakness target. An obvious household name, K often gets over looked, but it is proving to be a survivor. The company just upgraded its annual sales and profit guidance for the year as organic net sales are up 9% on the quarter. EPS beat analyst expectations by 32%. We like the dividend and feel it is secure. We would use $60 as a stop loss. Yield 3.29% (Analysts’ price target is $71.79)
Show full opinionHide full opinionStockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We are being rewarded for our patience as this was a buy on weakness target. An obvious household name, K often gets over looked, but it is proving to be a survivor. The company just upgraded its annual sales and profit guidance for the year as organic net sales are up 9% on the quarter. EPS beat analyst expectations by 32%. We like the dividend and feel it is secure. We would use $60 as a stop loss. Yield 3.29% (Analysts’ price target is $71.79)
food processing
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