Stock price when the opinion was issued
EPS of -2c slightly missed estimates. Revenue of $75M missed estimates by 10%.
EBITDA of $21.3M missed by 8%.
Gold sales fell 16% yet all-in costs rose 18%. 2023 forecast is for 120,000 ounces, up from 111,000. Its problems are not unique as costs continue to rise.
But we need to see better production growth to offset it. If production grows 10% and costs rise 18%, it is going backwards.
We think it is OK generally, and the balance sheet is fine.
But it is hard to make a strong case for keeping it this year.
It is a bit expensive (because earnings have declined).
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WDO has a 'bouncy' history but certainly momentum is quite strong right now. The balance sheet is solid and it is growing nicely. For mid-cap sector exposure, we would be OK buying today.
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Our PAST TOP PICK with WDO has triggered its stop at $16. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment loss of 6%, when combined with our previous guidance.