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NYSE:CF

CF Industries Holdings Inc. (CF)

106.56
-2.70 (2.47%)
as of Jun 11, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
12 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconJun 10, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 1 opinions in the last 12 months.

CF Industries Holdings Inc. has demonstrated remarkable performance, achieving a 68% increase in Q1 and ranking as one of the top performers on the S&P. This surge can be attributed to a combination of factors, including the onset of a bull market in agriculture prior to the war, which set the stage for growth. The conflict further exacerbated the situation by creating significant fertilizer shortages, leading to increased demand and, consequently, a rise in share prices. As a result, investors are viewing CF Industries as a strong player in the agricultural sector, capitalizing on these supply challenges. The company's financial performance is indicative of broader trends in agricultural commodities and highlights its resilience despite external pressures.

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Consensus
Bullish
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Valuation
Overvalued
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BUY

Up 68% in Q1 and one of the best performers on the S&P. Before the war there was the start of a bull market in agriculture. Then, the war created fertilizer shortages and this lifted shares.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 13/22, Down 14%)

Mid-cycle. Fertilizer stocks peaked in mid-2022. Deeply discounted. Farmer economics are as good as they've ever been. You'll see a return to using nitrogen, seeing recovery in the US. Momentum will build. Will benefit next year from higher nat gas prices putting pressure on marginal producers.

DON'T BUY
A fertilizer play which he kept saying would enjoy a boom year in 2022 after Russia invaded breadbasket Ukraine, which triggered food inflation. Farmers around the world invested heavily,including in fertilizer, to capitalize on higher crop prices. Russia and Belarus cannot supply potash fertilizer anymore. However, this is a short-term trade and you needed to sell this months ago. Own this now, and you're betting on a long-term war in the Ukraine, which he doubts will last because Russia is faltering badly.
TOP PICK
Largest nitrogen producer in the world, with majority being in NA. The two price drivers are gas prices and higher crop prices. Gas in NA is $6, while it's $30+ in Europe, so they benefit from the differential. With supply coming off, they can sell into a strong market. Yield is 1.88%. (Analysts’ price target is $107.26)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 12/20, Up 46.8%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with CF has triggered its stop at $44. We recommend covering the balance of the position at this time. When combined with the previous recommendation to cover half the position, this results in a net investment gain over 38%. We will continue to monitor for another potential entry.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 12/20, Up 72.9%)Stochchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with CF continues to do well. We are now recommending to trail up the stop (from $28) to $44. If triggered, this would all but guarantee an investment return of 38% when considering the recommendation to cover 50% previously.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 12/20, Up 30.1%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK achieved its $39 objective. To be disciplined we are recommending to cover 50% of the position. We also recommend trailing up the stop to $28.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly CF is a global leading producer of fertilizer, whose stock price has retreated 40% this year. Demand for their product has been hampered during the pandemic as low commodity prices globally caused by pandemic has made farmers reluctant to commit to their normal spending. Their latest earnings reported a loss, when analysts expected a profit. However analysts next year expect earnings growth now of 16% reflected in a 6% increase in sales. A recent acquisition of Terra Industries is expected to help solidify their position in the market while demand in key market regions like India and Brazil already show signs of improvement. It pays a healthy dividend, backed by a 83% payout ratio. We would buy this with a stop-loss at $24, looking to achieve $39 -- 28% upside. Yield 3.93% (Analysts’ price target is $39.00)
COMMENT

Right at his model price of $269.92. Pays a 2.4% yield. Doesn’t think you get hurt in this, but he looks for value and there isn’t particularly much in this.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick March 9/11. Up 53.01%.) Benefits significantly on account of low cost natural gas.
SELL
Fertilizer company and he is not crazy about fertilizers right now as there has been some price weakness. These stocks are very volatile and if they get a whiff of declining prices they move down very quickly.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick March 9/11. Up 18.65%.) Biggest nitrogen fertilizer producer in North America. Can see it going to $150-$160.
TOP PICK
It is the go-to play on the Nitrogen side. Eventually you are going to see about 85-90 Million acres of corn planted in the US. As long as you have the Corn/Ethanol mandate and as long as the Chinese are going to import corn, you are going to need a lot of fertilizer. All the Agri stocks have pulled back due to the spike in oil. This company could generate $15-16 in earnings per share.
TOP PICK
Agrium (AGU-T) is trying to acquire but has been refused to date because the prices too low. She is betting they will improve the bid by $10.
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CF Industries Holdings Inc. (CF) Frequently Asked Questions

What is CF Industries Holdings Inc. stock symbol?

CF Industries Holdings Inc. is a American stock, trading under the symbol CF (previously CF-N on Stockchase) on the New York Stock Exchange (CF). It is usually referred to as NYSE:CF or CF

Is CF Industries Holdings Inc. a buy or a sell?

In the last year, 1 stock analyst issued a Buy, Sell, or Hold rating on CF (previously CF-N on Stockchase). 1 analyst recommended to BUY and 0 analysts recommended to SELL the stock. The latest stock analyst rating is TOP PICK. Read the latest stock experts' ratings for CF Industries Holdings Inc..

Is CF Industries Holdings Inc. a good investment or a top pick?

CF Industries Holdings Inc. was recommended as a Top Pick by Veronika Hirsch on 2009-04-02. Read the latest stock experts ratings for CF Industries Holdings Inc..

Why is CF Industries Holdings Inc. stock dropping?

Earnings reports or recent company news can cause the stock price to drop. Read stock experts' recommendations for CF Industries Holdings Inc..

Is CF Industries Holdings Inc. worth watching?

CF Industries Holdings Inc. is followed by 12 investors on Stockchase and is a trending stock that is worth watching.

What is CF Industries Holdings Inc. stock price?

On 2026-06-11, CF Industries Holdings Inc. (CF) stock closed at a price of $106.56.