Allied Nevada Gold (ANV-T)

Chart shows the downtrend has been kind of broken and that the stock is attempting to base. For people that have owned this, it has traveled this far and you might as well see if it wants to break out or trade it at the top of the trading range.

Sold his holdings more than a year ago. Had some production problems in bringing the sulphide part of their deposit into production and the market was concerned. With higher prices, new management and a new plan, it would be nice for them to have $50 million more cash just to make sure everything is okay. In the trading range and is a Buy at $5 and $7-$8 is probably a Sell.

An amazing deposit. Developing the sulphide resource will take a great capital expense. Doesn’t think they can raise the financing.

8.75% bond due 2019, callable 2016. You can get these below $70 now. This company is burning through cash as they are building up their mines. As gold prices keep falling, the economics start to become tougher. They still have a lot of time but there is a default risk to this one. This is a single B credit giving you a 1 in 10 chance of a default. This is not for your income oriented investor.

(A Top Pick Nov 14/12. Down 16.4%.) June 01, 2019, 8.75% bond. This one didn’t pay off. He was nervous about gold and there were some high-yield bonds on gold, which he felt would be a safer bet. Had been a safer bet than the equity though. This company had some operational problems but it appears they are finally getting grips on it. Although there are some risks to it, if you bought this now, your yield to maturity would be about 17%, which would be great. In Q3 of 2014 they are going to have a feasibility study on the sulphide part of the deposit. If that looks good it will be okay. Also, there might be a streaming deal with Silver Wheaton (SLW-T).

Down about 90% from highs of last couple of years. Company has struggled. Problems with recovery of oxide materials. Thinks it will be manageable and they will get through it. There are inherent problems in the feasibility that they have not been able to address. With a higher gold price you will see this take off in value, but for now he has to wait and see what they come out with in terms of studies. Should have some in the not too distant future. There are other things that are easier to figure out (prefers others stocks).

Likes the idea of their geochemical technique for finding gold. What bothers him is that he has not been able to see them farm out very many of their projects to larger mining companies.

Gold producer in Nevada with a very rich high croft property. Have challenges in extracting some of the ore, and that coupled with the low gold prices, has resulted in this stock underperforming relative to some of its intermediate peers. If the expansion plans do come on stream, this company could be producing upwards of 500,000 ounces of gold.

Bonds? Gold producer in Nevada. This is a name that he likes. Bonds are not investment grade, partially because of the business they are in and partly because of the leverage but he is comfortable with the amount of leverage. Also, have a ton of assets backing their debt. There is also a possibility that the company could be taken over by a stronger credit and that would be very good for these bonds.

Allied Nevada June 01, 2019, 8.75% bond. A safe way to have gold exposure. Likes the company on the equity side.

(A Top Pick Oct 26/11. Up 0.01%.) Building an extension to Highcroft (?) so you will see a large increase in production in 2014 and he thinks the stock goes to $50 when that happens.