Colin CieszynskiBMO CHINA EQUITY INDEX ETFZCH.TOTOP PICKMar 24, 2025
International markets have done extremely well on a relative basis. The Chinese market had been quite depressed for quite some time, now finally started to break out. Very strong in last month or so. This ETF ranks highly in his scoring, looks amazing on the breakout. Capital is moving into Europe and China.
What interests him is that despite all the tariff talk, this ETF is doing incredibly well. Intriguing that Trump is issuing all these threats, yet this ETF is breaking out.
(Note the short timeframe.) He's being patient, but exercising discipline. If it doesn't hold above where he wants, he'll be out. Chinese tech sector is way cheaper than the American side. Only a 2% position for him, waiting to see what happens.
Everybody hated China because of real estate problems. Chinese government tends to step in and fix problems, and that's what they've been doing. He tried to buy off the floor, resistance around $17. Lots of faith that it'll get to at least that level, and maybe more.
He's long-term on this ETF. There is defined support at $14, so if you buy at $14, you're okay. But be patient. If it breaks below that support, he will get it.
He bought it at the bottom. Per his normal strategy, he will sell at the top of its trading range. China was feared/disliked as an investment, which became a traded trade, and that's when he bought. Inevitably, sentiment reverses.
It'll take time to come back to where it was in 2021. There is a lot of supply that needs to get through. Should get back most of the recent decline in the last few months.
A fine way to play China in Canada. Exposure to the big-cap names. Thinks it is on sale. Wants to have this exposure. Should be no more than 5% of your portfolio. Likes it.
China is the second largest economy in the world and will be first in the future. With the tilt towards equalization and communist philosophy. China has some growth challenges with bad demographics that is aging and shrinking. 1.4B people is still a huge number. Be mindful on trimming in rallies. 2-4% would be okay with up to 5% with the next few years. Focus on the China A shares, not the Hong Kong shares.
A lot of money is unclear on China. China wants to be the biggest economy of the world, as the reserve currency and wants to lead. However, they cannot do this without opening capital markets and letting it thrive. Accumulating every notch down. An opportunity to add every few pullbacks. However, there is limited visibility on the future.
Depends on your view on China. With regulations and squeeze on their top companies, it has dampened appetite for Chinese exposure for investors. Would nibble around here. Things should normalize. A different regulatory environment.
ZCH is more focused on the tech names with BABA counting for 22% of the holdings. There is virtually no financials. XCH has about 20% banks. Must understand what you own. Internet names have been pounded recently. KWEB could be a good way to play it.
Has owned this before. There's so much political interference and a lack of transparency that he doesn't want to own any Chinese stocks. Sure, some companies are performing well, but he is avoiding China. Not for him, though ZCH itself is a good ETF.
International markets have done extremely well on a relative basis. The Chinese market had been quite depressed for quite some time, now finally started to break out. Very strong in last month or so. This ETF ranks highly in his scoring, looks amazing on the breakout. Capital is moving into Europe and China.
What interests him is that despite all the tariff talk, this ETF is doing incredibly well. Intriguing that Trump is issuing all these threats, yet this ETF is breaking out.