NYSE:XPO

XPO Logistics, Inc (XPO)

211.06
-0.01 (0.00%)
as of Aug 14, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
47 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconAug 16, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 1 opinions in the last 12 months.

XPO Logistics, Inc. has experienced a significant increase in its stock value, rising 80% this year. However, experts highlight concerns regarding its financial metrics, specifically pointing out a 2.5% free cash flow yield coupled with a high price-to-earnings ratio of 40x. Although there are indications to sell some shares based on the elevated PE, many analysts believe XPO has potential for long-term growth. This dual perspective of short-term profit-taking versus optimistic long-term outlook shapes the current evaluation of the company. Investors are advised to consider both the current valuation metrics and future prospects when making decisions regarding their investment in XPO.

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Consensus
Mixed
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Valuation
Overvalued
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PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Aug 17/16. Up 21.05%.) A global freight logistics company. One of those businesses in 2015 that got hit really hard because it had done too many acquisitions with a little bit too much debt into early 2016. Likes that it is a very high, free cash flow business. Trading at about 8.5X EBITDA, and growing in the 20%-25% rate. A fantastic business.

BUY

It ran into trouble when the roll up stories got into trouble in 2015. They ended up with too much debt. They ended up with fantastic businesses. He got into it early this year. He thought they would stop doing that and let the entity do well without further acquisitions and they did. Its earnings and outlook have improved a lot over the last couple of quarters. He really likes it.

PAST TOP PICK

(Top Pick Aug 22/16, Down 9.68%) It was just in the news because it sold its truck load business to TransForce here in Canada. They are a logistics company. They also own an LTL division. People thought XPO’s sale was at a low valuation, but he disagrees.

TOP PICK

A US logistics company. They will route and ship whatever products for you. This includes where it will be picked up, how it gets transported, and where it is going, as well as handling all the custom forms and way bills that are needed. They also own Conway Trucking which they bought last year in order to do the “last mile”. They’ve reached the inflection where they are starting to generate free cash flow now. Management has guided $500-$800 million of free cash flow in 2018, and that is on a $4 billion market cap company. You are either going to get a 25% upside or it could be a double by 2018.

TOP PICK

This handles freight, last mile globally. It has been an acquisition story where it has been gaining the scale to do logistics businesses globally for major companies. This is going to benefit from all the e-commerce trends. It also has very, very strong organic growth for the next few years, despite a really weak overall freight market. Well-managed. Has incredibly strong earnings growth for the next couple of years.

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