Stock price when the opinion was issued
Down 14% this month, because of concerns over China. Remember, there was very little activity in Macau because of Covid, so things can't get worse than that. Sure, China's general economic weakness could have an effect on Wynn Macau. Numbers show that Macau is bouncing back. WYNN just reported a revenue beat and huge earnings beat.
Vegas tourism is white hot. Revenue per room was up 11% in May YOY, convention attendance up 2%, and visitors up 5%. MGM has over half its business from Vegas. But he doesn't like MGM's regional business and those patrons are struggling from higher inflation and interest rates. He Likes MGM, but prefers Wynne because it has more Vegas exposure. But Vegas' boom isn't pushing up Vegas stocks, which is frustrating. Frankly, the market is getting it wrong. When Wynne reports, their strong Macau business will shine.
He likes this company. They have the largest market share of the Macau gaming area, and the Chinese love to gamble. The company is very well positioned. There are concerns as to access to cash, access to credit; but as those stabilize, this company’s business can stabilize. Over the long haul, this is a nice place to be.