Opinions
The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research)
Wesdome Gold Mines Ltd.
WDO-T
TOP PICK
Apr 29, 2025
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Hasn’t followed this closely, but there was some recent chatter about somebody buying it out. They hit a drill hole in August that looked promising, so there is a little bit of froth on it. A pretty steady producer over the years, not a lot of reserves and not a lot of reserve growth. If the chatter proves to be true and the holes are repeated, you are probably going to do okay.
EPS of -2c slightly missed estimates. Revenue of $75M missed estimates by 10%.
EBITDA of $21.3M missed by 8%.
Gold sales fell 16% yet all-in costs rose 18%. 2023 forecast is for 120,000 ounces, up from 111,000. Its problems are not unique as costs continue to rise.
But we need to see better production growth to offset it. If production grows 10% and costs rise 18%, it is going backwards.
We think it is OK generally, and the balance sheet is fine.
But it is hard to make a strong case for keeping it this year.
It is a bit expensive (because earnings have declined).
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WDO has a 'bouncy' history but certainly momentum is quite strong right now. The balance sheet is solid and it is growing nicely. For mid-cap sector exposure, we would be OK buying today.
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WDO is a high-grade gold miner operating facilities in Ontario and Quebec. Production in Quebec is ramping up as deep zone work is exploited -- creating a near doubling of production there. Strong cash flow is allowing the company to aggressively retire debt while still seeing cash reserves grow. It trades at 19x earnings and supports a ROE of 27%. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $13.50, looking to achieve $20.00 -- upside potential of 18%. Yield 0%
(Analysts’ price target is $19.89)