Vertiv HoldingsVRTCOMMENTMay 15, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 22, 2026. Market Open.
Cooling for data centres. A picks-and-shovels play. Earnings up 51% in recent quarter. Company predicts Q2 growth of 24% YOY and 18% organic growth. Margins were 22+%. Raised guidance materially. FCF up 234%. Balance sheet in great shape.
Building data centres, so it doesn't matter who wins the chip wars. Reasonable 22x PE, 33% growth. Very high expectations on the stock. Margins could moderate. Very cyclical. Yield is 0.10%.
Still likes it. Pullback provides an opportunity for new entrants. Starting to move back up above 200-day MA. Higher-beta name (1.9x the S&P), so expect volatility. No surprise that some people have been taking profits. Valuation's still very good. Seeing ~33-35% earnings growth, and only 37x forward PE. PEG is near 1.0.
Technical structure looks very, very strong -- higher highs and highs lows. Bit of profit-taking in last 3-4 weeks. At the 100-day MA at the moment, so it might be an opportunity for you to layer in. In the AI data centre infrastructure space. RSI is getting close to oversold, but it's a high-beta stock (1.8-1.9x the S&P). Earnings growth of 33-35%, ~40x forward PE.
Liquid cooling solutions for data centres, benefits from AI buildout. This type of picks-and-shovels business is outperforming the data centres themselves.
He's not super-enthusiastic about many of these AI-adjacent companies. They're not super-sophisticated tech that nobody else can do. In the end, there are only 4-5 customers and they have the scale to push prices down. Not interested in adding at current levels.
Tied to the AI story. More data centres means you need stable power and (more importantly) cooling systems. AI data centres are 24/7, and need a lot more computing than traditional computing platforms. Mission-critical infrastructure.
Lots of revenue backlog (~$15B). It goes back to the picks-and-shovels owners will benefit from the big capex spend by hyperscalers. Yield is 0.09%.
They have an investor meeting on Tuesday, but share are up huge, so it might not matter.