Stockchase Opinions

David Fingold Verisk Analytics VRSK -Q WAIT Apr 14, 2021

Excellent company. Supplies data to insurance companies. Only risk is consolidation, where insurance companies wouldn't need to buy the data, as they'd have it if they were big enough. A resilient business, so not the best place to be in the first stage of an economic recovery. He prefers a capital goods cyclical right now, such as DE or CAT.

$181.850

Stock price when the opinion was issued

0
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BUY ON WEAKNESS
He bought it in January. It's had a nice run since. A data management company for insurance and financial industries to underwrite policies. Currently not buying any more since it's a little expensive. Will continue to hold it in the long-run and data mining is a huge business.
TOP PICK
They supply data-analytics to insurers. They have 90% of the P&C insurance industry as customers; and will continue to build that database of information. (Analysts’ price target is $161.73)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 13/20, Down 13%) They sell about 10% of their revenue from the oil and gas sector, but the majority comes from the insurance space. They offer a service that helps insurance companies price risk. Over the long term, they will do fine.
HOLD
He holds this for clients. They began buying at $110. The company provides analytics using massive data sets and selling data sets to different industries. They sell to insurance companies, for example, who would all for more accurate underwriting in a more profitable way. They provide similar services for the oil and gas sector. These are mission critical projects. The need will be rising going forward. He would continue to hold.
COMMENT
Their stock buyback as their stock price is high He has owned this before. It's doing well recently and he watches it. They supply information to the insurance industry in order to price insurance and manage the claims process. Clients have little choice but to use VRSK's services; can't do it themselves. There's some upside in the oil industry--VRSK provides information on oil and gas reservoirs, so this segment could benefit from a cyclical upside in the wider market. They are in a cash-generating business. Their buybacks have never been excessive. He doesn't own it, because there are better ideas out there with better upside in an improving economy now.
BUY
It is a great company to invest in. He has held it since 2019. They help actuaries figure out how better to price risk. They are using new technology to sort through big data. This is great for a very long term hold.
BUY

They suppled boring data to the boring insurance industry, but he likes boring. They've bought back 7.3% of its shares this year. Also, its lifetime chart is sharply higher. They sold their non-core business (selling data to energy companies) to become a pure data insurance company. Good. That sale paid for the buyback. They report lots of capital to shareholders.

BUY
a dividend aristocrat

They raised their dividend by 15%. They reported a mixed quarter. Shares grind higher over time though the company is overlooked. Can they keep doing well when interest rates decline, which hurts the profits of the insurance industry? Shares have been sideways for over 6 months. He bets it will keep well because their software is great.

TOP PICK

They give risk assessment, after producing insurance company data analytics. With all these natural disasters and global warming, there will be more need to price insurance properly and to do that with more data. They use AI heavily.

(Analysts’ price target is $303.00)