Stockchase Opinions

Richard Croft Vanguard FTSE Cdn Capped REIT VRE-T COMMENT Dec 19, 2013

Is this a good one to play housing? One of the concerns that everyone has to have when looking at any REIT is that if interest rates are rising, that can slow down real estate. A reasonable Buy today but you have to bear in mind interest rates could negatively impact this. If he were doing it, he would just buy RioCan (REI.UN-T).

$24.440

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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TOP PICK

Started trading today. Only 19 holdings. Real Estate. Will probably put XRE on his heels a bit.

PAST TOP PICK

(Top Pick Nov 8/12, Up 1.99%) A new product that he thought would work. Real Estate has had a bad 5 or 6 months.

COMMENT

As a play on the housing market? Doesn’t know if there is a lot of difference between this, iShares S&P/TSX Capped REIT (XRE-T) and BMO Equal Weight REITs Index (ZRE-T). They all seem to have much the same components. It all depends on how much RioCan (REI.UN-T) you want, but there is nothing wrong with having this. He takes a look at the costs and takes the cheapest.

HOLD

This will be based on whatever you think real estate is going to do over the next year. You have interest rates continuing to be low and unlikely to rise significantly over the next year. You have a US Fed chairman who has all but told us that we have a prolonged period before we see interest rate hikes.

COMMENT

VDY vs. VRE when buying dips We just had a dip on Friday and you have to pounce on them. It's hard. You need to find a stock that trades in a channel, then buy when it hits the bottom of that channel. The TSX is weighted in the VDY. He prefers VDY given the underperformance of Canadian banks in VRE.

DON'T BUY
He likes real-estate as an asset class. He is more in private equity where volatility is lower and yield is better. He expects pretty significant destruction in retail and office REITs may have challenges with work from home. Broad REITs are probably not the best way to play this space. He prefers niche REITs.
BUY

Good product for REIT oriented investors.