Opinions
Mason Granger
TriOil Resources
TOL-X
BUY
Sep 18, 2012
$2.520
Stock price when the opinion was issued
oil
gas
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BUY
This is a poster boy for what people do not want. They do not want oil leverage or small cap stocks. Put out a good quarter. Will likely have an operation update where they are sitting on a couple of wells. Balance sheet is extraordinarily clean. Even if oil prices continue to fall, they have a strong balance sheet to grow meaningful production and are sitting on 2 incredible assets. Potentially it gets over $6 if you look at their 2 main plays. Highly profitable.
oil
gas
HOLD
On valuations, this is the kind of company that investors generally don't want to own. Oil-based and they feel there is more upside in natural gas stocks. This is a very dangerous belief to have. Also, their market cap is a sub 1 million and fund managers need liquidity. However, things continue to go very well for them. Have 2 very, very good plays that are surrounded by other companies which are actively drilling. Trading at 2.8X Enterprise to Cash Flow using $80 oil.
oil
gas
DON'T BUY
Company was put into play back in January by an institution that bought 5% of the stock and forced them into a strategic review. A lot of other companies have looked at the assets and now seem to be in inclusive talks. Who knows how long this can really drag on? If you own, continue to hold.
oil
gas
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Just announced a $25 million financing. Was in a pretty strong financial position before this. Had expected them to exit 2012 with a net debt of about $30 million on a credit facility of about $50 million. Raising equity at this point allows them to accelerate their program. He is particularly excited about their Cardium position at Lockend. They’ve exceeded their type curve wells (?) and there is some additional upside down the road from a new Dunvegan oil play. Good potential from here.