Stockchase Opinions

Benj Gallander Stuart Olson Inc SOX-T TOP PICK Apr 23, 2019

They lost some money. Revenues will fall in Q1 and maybe also Q2 that could extend the loss, but they expect revenues this year to be higher than in 2018. He likes managerment. They've paid a dividend of 12 cents for 31 straight quarters until they cut it. Activist investors are looking to see SOX sold. (Analysts’ price target is $5.10)
$4.700

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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DON'T BUY
It has not done well for shareholders over the past 5 years. The dividend is attractive, but could quickly come under risk. He would wait to see improvement before jumping in. Yield 7%
TOP PICK
They just had a bad quarter and the stock price has been beaten down. This could become a 4-bagger. He likes management and likes the dividend while he waits for things to improve. Yield 7.06% (Analysts’ price target is $4.90)
RISKY
It is very inexpensive and he continues to own it. Their backlog is growing, which is a good sign. It has been regarded as a pure construction business that focused on Alberta. He sees this as higher risk for higher reward. It may become a take out target going forward.
DON'T BUY
A big disappointment. Right after he recommended them, their fixed contracts went over cost. Have struggled to expand geographically. They're perceived to be a western company where growth is slower. It should be worth more.
SELL
For tax-loss selling. It's really disappointed him. He wouldn't be surprised if this was sold or even privatized. He's sold a lot of shares and holds only some now. SOX's margins never recovered.
TOP PICK
He has owned this a long time. They cut the dividend by half and then eliminated it. This killed the stock price. The cut will save $14 million in cash flow. They have cut staff and they are getting hurt by events in the energy sector. They have $1.6 billion in back log and refinanced their debt. This could be a 10-bagger, or it could go bankrupt. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $1.73)
DON'T BUY
Moving up recently a lot Engineering firm in oil. The down channel looks like it won't stop anytime soon. For him to enter, this needs to build a base. He'd watch this to see if a base forms in six months.
TOP PICK
He bought in when the dividend was over 9%, only to see them eliminate it and the stock got killed. Their revenues are going down, but he has faith as the management team is looking to make it lean and mean. Their backlog has gone up. They are not out of the woods and could see this going into double-digits in price. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $1.74)
COMMENT

In the construction space his favorite is WSP Global. SOX is similar and he thinks they may be a value trap as there is some concerns about the dividend, the strength of the balance sheet and their ties to the energy sector.