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Stockchase Opinions

Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTAMarket Vectors Steel Index E.T.F.SLXWEAK BUYApr 05, 2021

A steel ETF that covers stocks like Rio Tinto, Cleveland Cliff, etc.. The best way to play the global steel sector. Look at the 10 year chart to get perspective. We have seen a good rally already. A classic cyclical play. We are getting to the top end of the range. Not early.

$56.84

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$110.85

As of Jun 12, 2026. Market Open.

E.T.F.'s
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BUY ON WEAKNESS

US ETF that covers the whole steel sector. You want to see how your stock is trading relative to its sector. The sector itself looks really interesting. Doesn't have any direct exposure right now, but it's on his radar.

Pressures from tariffs and other things. If we're closer to the end of the business cycle, then a lot of these stocks are getting pretty cheap. He's not promising a turnaround is coming. He'd buy into pullbacks.

BUY

See his educational segment. The bump we saw in China is over. China will grow at a much lower rate than the last couple of years. He is playing SLX-N as the best infrastructure play as it is steel in the US.

COMMENT

Steel benefits more from October through to May when manufacturing does well and all the cyclicals do well. The average gain for steel over that time is about 7%. There has been improvement in manufacturing recently, which is not seasonably typical.

WAIT

Has all the global steel players in it. The Chinese government is 50% of GDP. He would not buy yet, but sometime in 2013 for a 3-5 year hold. Don't chase it here.

TOP PICK
Steel. Valuation is outrageous at about 8 or 9 times earnings. This one plays into the issue of global growth.