Stockchase Opinions

The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research) Rocket Companies, Inc. RKT-N TOP PICK Oct 13, 2020

Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly If you are looking for an up and coming market disrupting company, RKT could be it. The company provides an online way to help clients apply for mortgages, execute contracts, handle monthly payments and provide real-time mortgage quotes. The company just announced a partnership with a major online realty search company. Earnings are up over 200% from a year ago, for the company that just went public in August. Loan originations were up over 125%. We would trade this with a stop-loss at $20. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $27.75)
$23.580

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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TOP PICK
Good generation of cash flow. Trading at 10 X earnings. Has a lot of cash. Dividends.
DON'T BUY
Sold this summer because margins were getting killed as commodity prices were rising and their free cash flows were disappearing. Started to see more competition and a decline in their business model.
BUY

Well-positioned. Looking at packaging/container board names, the bottom of the box usually has Rock Tenn imprinted on the bottom. When you look at container board price hikes, and increases in container board packaging, this one has pricing power. Price hikes they have implemented in the last 12 months are driving free cash flow. That free cash flow is driving the stock price. Has a long way to go.

COMMENT
Everyone asks him why this has stalled out, given that the housing and mortgage markets are strong. Maybe because investors are buying banks instead or buying fintechs, but they don't consider RKT a fintech name. He's neutral about RKT.
COMMENT

If the Fed cuts rates, this will definitely go up 50%, but how likely with they cut? He's more negative short term than most people.