Rocket Lab USARKLBTOP PICKJan 28, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
RKLB had a decent quarter, is getting some stock mojo back after its prior weak quarter (and short attack) and has signed some decent new contracts. It is still an 'expensive' stock in a still-uncertain environment. Cash flow remains highly negative and losses are expected to continue for at least two years. We like the company...less so the valuation. We would be OK with a starter position (1/4 size, perhaps) for very aggressive investors.
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Well positioned for explosion in commercial space activity as launch costs come down. Launch business will have a new product later this year, a direct competitor for the mid-range Falcon 9 from SpaceX. The other 2/3 of their business involves space systems, which is building satellites for customers. No dividend.
Really likes the scrappy, technical, and resourceful CEO. Reminds him of Elon Musk in the early days.
Launch capacity should become very constrained in next 2-3 years, even for broadband. If data centre use can materialize, pretty significant upside. Its new rocket, Neutron, will be much more competitive on price. Looking for cost/kg to go from $3k to $300, and we're already heading in that direction. No dividend.
(Analysts’ price target is $88.08)