Stockchase Opinions

Joshua Varghese Public Storage PSA-N BUY Oct 08, 2024

Customers tend to rent these spaces longer than they expected, and the rates are not crazy. So, it's a good business based on demand. Also, PSA doesn't need to spend much money on these buildings (who cares what their storage space looks like?) compared to an office building. Low capex, so cash flow is strong. PSA is a pioneer in this space and they have grown it well in past decades. A caveat is that low fewer home sales means that fewer people are selling their homes and putting stuff in storage, hence decreasing demand. That said, PSA is a quality long-term hold and lower interest rates will increase demand.

$347.940

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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BUY ON WEAKNESS
This is the oldest and largest self-storage company in North America and is in a great sector. It has a high credit rating and little debt. It is subject to some activism - buy on pullbacks.
BUY
Largest self-storage in the US. Premium to NAV in a great space. Likes its capital allocation decisions. The dividend percentage doesn't matter as much as whether cashflow can sustain the dividend. He likes a lower dividend that allows capital retention for repairs and investing in growth.
BUY
A great company with a bulletproof balance sheet. Most financing is done through preferred equities. The self-storage business is resistant to a recession.
BUY
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks PSA stock pays a decent 2.77% dividend yield, safe at a 32.51% payout ratio. and trades at a low 11.81x PE. The beta stands at only 0.39, making it super safe from market volatility. PSA shares have come off because some view it as a pandemic play, but that’s unfair. PSA is highly defensive, which investors need as we enter a weakening economy, and the sector as a whole is due for a comeback. A buy. Read Between Safety and Risk: 3 Safe and Gambling Stocks for our full analysis.
TOP PICK

The largest self-storage company in the US. Is growing its fund flows from operations at a high single-digit. They have pricing power as they increase rental rates around 9%. They benefit from sticky, long-term contracts, and are seeing record tenant lengths of stay. They watch costs, like installing solar panels on buildings. The dividend yield is 4.3%, growing around 9%. They grow organically and buying competitors. Trading near the low end of 52 weeks.

(Analysts’ price target is $332.78)

BUY ON WEAKNESS

It yields 5% and is trading like a bond. If interest rates hit 6%, this will go down another 15-20%. Wait till $200 to buy.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Shares are down so it's a buying opportunity. Bears say there are too many companies in this space, but he disagrees. PSA are smart operators.

HOLD

The original operator in the industry. $50-60B in size. Sophisticated use of technology. Rapid growth and demand during Covid, has now come off quite a bit. Extremely defensive, best balance sheet. Its spinoff in Europe is improving on European fundamentals. Discount to NAV.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 29/23, Up 23%)

Not high organic growth. Saw waning momentum in same-store net operating income. Leveraged, interest-rate sensitive, valuation fairly high.