Pengrowth EnergyPGF.TODON'T BUYJun 09, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jan 09, 2020. Market Open.
The stock has bounced because of the higher oil price. It has sold assets to bring down debt, but debt is $600 million compared to an equity base of $1 billion, so it is still a bit high. At this point, they don’t have any key assets for sale. Their low production is 19,000 boe/day, which is this quarter. They will bring on more wells to bring production to 23,000 boe/day by the end of the year. Cash flow will be about $0.20 per year. His target for this year is $2 and $4.50 for the next 3-to-5 years. The company has a new CEO, with relevant (thermal oil) experience.
Not a fan, given current valuation. Current project is a thermal oil sand project. These projects can have good pilot results and then bad long term results. He worries about sustainability of the dividend. There are much better names to be invested in.