Stockchase Opinions

John Stephenson PG&E Corp PCG-N PAST TOP PICK Aug 30, 2004

(A Top Pick June 10/04. Then: $28.30) Stock is going higher than it is now.
$28.610

Stock price when the opinion was issued

electrical utilities
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BUY ON WEAKNESS

A turnaround story to watch. This utility used to be the worst operator--inconsistent numbers, starting wildfires and declared bankruptcy in 2019, but emerged from that in 2022. Now have a new CEO who is turning around the company. Reported a decent quarter in late-February, reiterated their full-year forecast, saw 10% earnings growth in 2022 and showed equal that this year. PCG is more consistent now. Are guiding 10% quarterly earnings growth in 2024 and 9% in 2025 and 2026. Will not issue any new stock through 2024. Won in court in California that will allow them keep running a nuclear power plant. Meanwhile, all the recent rain has been a boom to their hydroelectric dam. However, given a lawsuit a fire victims' trust has been selling huge blocks of shares. Good news is that this trust is no longer the top shareholder. This recent pullback is a buy.

PARTIAL BUY

A great CEO and a name he's recommended before. They don't pay a dividend, but they could start paying one if they get a rate increase approved. This has rebounded hard from its lows in a beaten-up utilities sector.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

A defensive play. Buy on a correction.

BUY

A turnaround story, improving under a new CEO. The growth recovery has been rocky but execution is sound. Their growth targets are impressive. Shares have rallied from $10 to $18 in recent years.

BUY

Has data centres and EVs in California. Cheap at 15x PE. As a regulated utility, they will see 10% EPS growth and likely raise their dividend.

BUY
Considering interest rate cuts

Is good to own with our without rate cuts.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Has tumbled 15% since the LA fires started. Is a buying opportunity.

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TOP PICK

PG&E Corp. operates as a holding company, which engages in generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity and natural gas to customers. It specializes in energy, utility, power, gas, electricity, solar and sustainability. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Oakland, CA. Social media mentions are up 1400% in the past 24h.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

One of the biggest losers on the S&P in January. Hurt by the LA fires. Down 22.45% last month, making it dirt cheap now.

HOLD

Is a utility that's blamed for the LA fires (wrongly), and shares are punished. He's sticking with it.