Stockchase Opinions

Joe TerranovaOccidental Petroleum CorpOXYCOMMENTDec 30, 2022

Top stock on the S&P in 2022, up 115%. The heavy short action has unwound a lot. Energy is the top performer by far--even beyond crude oil prices--in 2022. Looking ahead: these companies will focus on improving debt and serving shareholders.
$62.64

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$58.92

As of Jun 01, 2026. Market Open.

integrated oils
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COMMENT

Up 58% in Q1 and one of the best performers on the S&P. Is benefitting from high oil prices brought on by the Mideast war. But it outperforms the market when it rally, but also falls further when the market slides. This will be a big loser when peace is reached in the Middle East.

DON'T BUY

No reason for the stock to be compelling, except that Berkshire Hathaway is a significant shareholder. Very good position in the Permian. Starting to pivot from incinerating shareholder capital in green energy. Trades at a premium relative to Canadian peers.

Instead, look at CVE.

BUY

A name to consider instead of CVX.

DON'T BUY
Why did Warren Buffett buy so much of it?

He shares the caller's bewilderment. Why didn't Warren come to Canada with its better valuations and resource depth? Could be because it has a clean tech division which earned tax credits when ESG was stronger than today. Inventory challenges. Better opportunities elsewhere.

DON'T BUY

Yes, Warren Buffet owns it, but OXY has a lot of debt.

TOP PICK

It is very cheap. It tracks the price of crude pretty well and is still trading below when crude was at its lows a couple of years ago. He think oil is going to $85. It is an undervalued oil trade so he would consider options. Pays a nice dividend.      Buy 8  Hold 19  Sell 1

(Analysts’ price target is $67.69)
COMMENT

Berkshire just added to their large position, now 28%. This is a make or break quarter for energy. There's a divergence between the spot price of oil and oil stocks. Stop looking at that price which had gone nowhere in over 2 years.

BUY

With a strong balance sheet and earnings growth, OCY bought Crownrock. However, this won't make a difference in the face of supply of crude oil overwhelming demand. Yes, Berkshire's ownership is like a stamp of approval and is a big reason to own Oxy.

DON'T BUY

Is shocked this hasn't move up more after Buffett added more shares and the war in the Middle East.

TRADE

He bought this late. Bought it because one of the greatest investors, Buffett, in the world bought it. Energy is a tough sector; expects the momentum will eventually turn and oil falls to the $80s.

HOLD

Investors think the oil market is still in 2022. It's not. Would sell energy, though still holds this. Is nothing more than a hold.

BUY
BRK.A boosting its stake.

Likes it. Encouraging. Warren Buffett, one of the shrewdest, most patient investors of all time, is stepping up in the face of widespread negative sentiment. The most uncomfortable buys are usually the best ones. Don't chase the herd and buy NVDA. Be patient and tune out the noise.

BUY
Things were dicey for them in 2019 when they borrowed a lot of money to buy a company, then crude oil plummeted in April 2020 and so did OXY. But OXY is incredibly sensitive to oil prices, falling further when crude oil falls, but rallying higher when crude rises. Therefore, it's gone from fighting for survival to printing money. Who knows? Maybe Berkshire Hathaway will buy all of OXY, since BH keeps buying more shares of it. OXY is still good if crude oil holds at this price.
HOLD
Would not buy shares now (large upside has already occurred). Warren Buffett likes cash flow which company is excellent at producing. Not as much upside for company.