Stockchase Opinions

Stan Wong Oracle ORCL-N WEAK BUY Jun 12, 2025

Hasn't had a chance to look closely at yesterday's earnings. Stock's at a 52-week, if not all-time, high today. Looks interesting, given the cloud space it's in. Not expensive at 2x PEG, with forward PE of 29-30x. Earnings growth rate ~16%.

Technically, meets his criteria. 200-day MA is trending higher, and price is above that. High beta, volatile.

$199.090

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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BUY

Is seeing billions in orders to build data centres. It popped 4% today, up over 31% this year.

BUY

Is in the sweet spot, AI, and giving excellent results. Momentum is there. All systems go. The only negative is its valuation, but its momentum trumps that.

WEAK BUY

People think of it as legacy databases and old technology. Slowly emerging as alternative player in the cloud. Joint Stargate project is exciting, includes $500B infrastructure push. Low base rate, so this pivot provides a revenue acceleration opportunity in cloud.

TRADE

Rolled all his option from the 8/22 expiration to the 8/29 expiry. Net credit of $16 at the same $237.50 strike.

PARTIAL SELL

Has tripled for him over 2.5 years, though has trimmed a little a few weeks ago only to manage risk. Is up 42% this year. Is key in the AI build-out long-term.

COMMENT

They could no right until the current CEO reinvented the company as a data centre kingpin. Shares jumped today on news of expansion in their data centre strategy. They report Tuesday. Good numbers could spur profit-taking.

HOLD
Missed on metrics, but guidance wowed.

Went into yesterday with a 6% position in his fund, now just above 8%. Probably won't trim until it gets between 9-10%. Backlog was 360% more than what was expected. 

Views it same way as IBM. Both are legacy technology stocks. But then the light went on and they got into the cloud and data centres. 

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TOP PICK

Oracle reported a revenue of 14.9B, which is a -6.1% change from the previous quarter. An increase in revenue typically indicates growing demand for the company's products or services. A decline in revenue can be concerning, as it might indicate reduced sales or challenges in the market. It's important to investigate further to understand the underlying causes. Social media mentions are up 217.5% in the past 24h.

BUY

Soared 36% today on their forecast on gigantic data centre growth.